

773 

FNUS54 KMRX 140846

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

346 AM EST FRI FEB 14 2014



.DISCUSSION...

PARTIAL SUNSHINE AND WARMER TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL MELT AWAY MORE 

OF OUR RECENT SNOWFALL. HOWEVER...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND 

COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING A MIX OF 

RAIN AND SNOW BY THE EVENING HOURS...THEN SNOW OVERNIGHT INTO 

SATURDAY MORNING. A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF NEW SNOW IS EXPECTED...

ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.  



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-151000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

346 AM EST FRI FEB 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+7)   21-26 (-2)   28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-5)   95-100 (+4)  48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G17                 NW 11 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G17    SW  8 G18    NW 10 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SLEET        SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            6            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.35         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      NW 25        

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-151000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

346 AM EST FRI FEB 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+10)  22-27 (+4)   29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-11)  95-100 (+3)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G25                  NW 14 G28    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G20    S  6 G15     NW 14 G28    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SLEET        SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            6            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.32         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 35                      NW 31        

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               63 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS

18 TO 26. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-151000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

346 AM EST FRI FEB 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+10)  23-28 (+4)   32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-10)  86-91 (-1)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G25                  NW  8 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    SW 11 G24    NW  8 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            6            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.30         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 33                      NW 20        

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS

19 TO 28. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-151000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

346 AM EST FRI FEB 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+10)  26-31 (+6)   36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-8)   80-85 (-6)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     N 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    SW  9 G19    NW  7 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.19         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      N 21         

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-151000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

346 AM EST FRI FEB 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+12)  27-32 (+8)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-17)  74-79 (-10)  22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      NW 11 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        SW  7 G16    NW 10 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.20         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      NW 25        

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-151000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

346 AM EST FRI FEB 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+7)   24-29 (+3)   33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-9)   92-97 (+3)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 NW 10 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G15    SW  6 G15    NW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.27         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      NW 22        

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS

19 TO 26. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-151000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

346 AM EST FRI FEB 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+2)   23-28 (-1)   35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+7)   94-99 (+8)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7                     NW  8 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G17    SW  9 G18    NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.24         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      NW 16        

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-151000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

346 AM EST FRI FEB 14 2014 /246 AM CST FRI FEB 14 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+3)   25-30 (+1)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+2)   81-86 (-3)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     N  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G19    SW  9 G22    NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.11         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      N 20         

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD









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