

625 

FNUS54 KMRX 131950

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

250 PM EST THU FEB 13 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AS THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE THAT BLANKETED THE REGION WITH SNOWFALL 

MOVES OFF TO THE NORTHEAST...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE 

WEST. DRY...AND COLDER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED 

TONIGHT...AND INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THE APPROACHING COLD 

FRONT WILL SPREAD RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION STARTING 

FRIDAY EVENING. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-142100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

250 PM EST THU FEB 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-2)   38-43 (+6)   20-25        29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  70-75 (+3)   95-100       45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G16                 NW  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     SW  8 G15    SW 12 G22    NW  7 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           100          0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.27         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 30                      NW 23        

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-142100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EST THU FEB 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-2)   37-42 (+6)   21-26        28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-1)   66-71 (+1)   95-100       42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G18                  NW 13 G26    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     W  9 G18     SW 12 G22    NW 10 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           100          20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            6            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.28         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 35                      NW 29        

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-142100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

250 PM EST THU FEB 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-2)   39-44 (+7)   22-27        32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   63-68 (+3)   86-91        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G19                 NW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G21     SW 10 G28    SW 16 G35    NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            6            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.27         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 33                      NW 17        

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO

15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-142100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EST THU FEB 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-2)   42-47 (+6)   25-30        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   62-67 (+3)   84-89        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G16                 N  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G16     SW  9 G21    SW 13 G27    NW  5 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           80           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.19         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      N 18         

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-142100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EST THU FEB 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-2)   44-49 (+9)   25-30        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   59-64 (-3)   80-85        18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     NW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         SW  7 G17    SW 12 G22    NW  7 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           80           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.19         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 30                      NW 23        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   33 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          7                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO

MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-142100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

250 PM EST THU FEB 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-2)   40-45 (+6)   23-28        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  65-70 (-4)   91-96        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     NW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         SW  7 G17    SW 12 G22    W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           100          0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.23         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2100                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      NW 20        

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO

MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-142100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

250 PM EST THU FEB 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-2)   41-46 (+5)   23-28        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   62-67 (+5)   91-96        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7                     NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         SW  8 G18    W 12 G23     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           90           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.19         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      NW 14        

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-142100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

250 PM EST THU FEB 13 2014 /150 PM CST THU FEB 13 2014/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-3)   43-48 (+5)   25-30        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  59-64 (+8)   84-89        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G16                 N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         SW  9 G18    W 10 G20     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           80           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.11         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2000                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      N 17         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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