

599 

FNUS54 KMRX 130959

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

459 AM EST THU FEB 13 2014



.DISCUSSION...

THE WINTER STORM THAT HAS BROUGHT SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL TO THE

SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WILL SLOWLY EXIT THE AREA FROM

SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE DAY.  CLEARING SKIES 

EXPECTED TONIGHT AND ANOTHER SYSTEM MOVING IN ON FRIDAY.  THIS 

SYSTEM MAY PRODUCE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF NEW SNOW OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-141100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

459 AM EST THU FEB 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+1)   21-26 (0)    38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+7)   90-95 (+1)   68-73        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7                      SW  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G16    W  5 G15     SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            70           

PRECIP DURATION       5                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      1 PM         

PRECIP END            7 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 20                      W 31         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW. LOWS 15 TO 27. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-141100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

459 AM EST THU FEB 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+6)   20-25 (0)    37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+2)   87-92 (-3)   66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G15                 W  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G22    W  8 G20     W 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            70           

PRECIP DURATION       5                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      1 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 21                      W 37         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW. LOWS 19 TO 28. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-141100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

459 AM EST THU FEB 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+2)   21-26 (0)    39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-1)   91-96 (-1)   63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G15                 W  8 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    W  8 G18     SW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            60           

PRECIP DURATION       3                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      1 PM         

PRECIP END            7 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 20                      W 36         

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS 19 TO 29. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-141100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

459 AM EST THU FEB 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+6)   23-28 (0)    42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-16)  92-97 (-2)   62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        W  5         SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            60           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      1 PM         

PRECIP END            1 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 21                      W 29         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-141100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

459 AM EST THU FEB 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+5)   23-28 (0)    44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-14)  94-99 (-2)   59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        W  6         SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            50           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      1 PM         

PRECIP END            4 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 23                      W 30         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               9 POOR       

MAX LVORI             5                         6            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN OR SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-141100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

459 AM EST THU FEB 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+2)   22-27 (0)    40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   88-93 (-2)   64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         SW  5        SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            70           

PRECIP DURATION       3                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      1 PM         

PRECIP END            7 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      2000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 16                      W 31         

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-141100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

459 AM EST THU FEB 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+2)   23-28 (0)    41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-5)   88-93 (-3)   62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        W  5         SW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            80           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      11 AM        

PRECIP END            1 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      1900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 16                      W 29         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-141100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

459 AM EST THU FEB 13 2014 /359 AM CST THU FEB 13 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+7)   24-29 (-1)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-15)  88-93 (-5)   59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        W  6         SW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            60           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      11 AM        

PRECIP END            1 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      1900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 21                      W 28         

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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