

315 

FNUS54 KMRX 121931

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

231 PM EST WED FEB 12 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC 

SEABOARD OVERNIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED MOISTURE COUPLED WITH AN UPPER 

LEVEL TROUGH WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED SNOWFALL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION. THE SNOW WILL COME TO AN END FROM WEST TO EAST 

ON THURSDAY AS THE MOISTURE PULLS AWAY FROM THE AREA.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-132045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

231 PM EST WED FEB 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+2)   33-38 (+3)   21-26        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+13)  59-64 (+7)   90-95        59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         NW 10 G19    LGT/VAR      SW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            70           

PRECIP DURATION       8            3                         2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                10 AM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.10         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 21                      W 37         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 16 TO 23. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-132045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

231 PM EST WED FEB 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+1)   31-36 (+4)   20-25        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+19)  61-66 (+5)   85-90        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G20                 W  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         NW 13 G25    W  5         W 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            5                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                1 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.10         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     W 44         

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 16 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-132045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

231 PM EST WED FEB 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-1)   32-37 (+3)   22-27        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+17)  58-63 (+1)   80-85        56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G15                 SW  8 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         NW 10 G20    W  5         W 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            3                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                1 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.03         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 21                      W 41         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 15 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-132045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

231 PM EST WED FEB 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-1)   35-40 (+5)   23-28        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+7)   56-61 (-12)  83-88        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                1 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.01         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      2200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 23                      W 35         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS

18 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-132045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

231 PM EST WED FEB 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-2)   34-39 (+3)   23-28        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-3)   59-64 (-11)  83-88        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G20                 W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        NW 11 G21    LGT/VAR      W 10 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                1 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.01         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 28                      W 37         

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

19 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-132045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

231 PM EST WED FEB 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+2)   34-39 (+3)   22-27        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+14)  58-63 (+6)   86-91        58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      SW 10 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            70           

PRECIP DURATION       8            3                         2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                10 AM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.07         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      1900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     W 37         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. LOWS 17 TO 24. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-132045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

231 PM EST WED FEB 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (0)    35-40 (+3)   23-28        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+13)  54-59 (+1)   85-90        59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        NW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      W  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           0            70           

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                10 AM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.02         0.00         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      W 33         

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 19 TO

25. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-132045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

231 PM EST WED FEB 12 2014 /131 PM CST WED FEB 12 2014/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-2)   37-42 (+6)   24-29        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+15)  54-59 (-8)   84-89        61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        NW  6        LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            60           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                1 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.01         0.00         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      1700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 21                      W 35         

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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