

376 

FNUS54 KMRX 121029

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

529 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014



..SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS TH CAROLINAS TODAY.  THIS WILL 

PULL DEEP MOISTURE AND STRONG LIFT INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. 

WITH COLD AIR IN PLACE...SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE 

TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL 

REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-131130-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

529 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (0)    22-27 (+3)   34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+18)  88-93 (+6)   58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         NE  5        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          70           

PRECIP DURATION       5            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.26         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 13                     N 16         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SNOW LIKELY OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 16 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-131130-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

529 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-2)   21-26 (+1)   32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+5)   88-93 (+7)   61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G16                 NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        E  5         NW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          70           

PRECIP DURATION       6            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.37         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 15                     N 18         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SNOW LIKELY OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 17 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-131130-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

529 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-3)   22-27 (-1)   33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-4)   90-95 (+5)   57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         NE  6        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       7            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.27         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     N 17         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SNOW LIKELY OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS 15 TO 26. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-131130-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

529 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-6)   25-30 (-1)   36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+1)   90-95 (-4)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        N  5         NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          40           

PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.24         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 12                     N 18         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 19 TO 27.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-131130-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

529 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-6)   24-29 (-2)   35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+1)   95-100 (-2)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        N  5         NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          40           

PRECIP DURATION       8            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.51         0.27         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 13                     N 21         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   21 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT WINDS.

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN

THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-131130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

529 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-3)   23-28 (+2)   35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+18)  86-91 (+2)   58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         NE  6        W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       5            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.27         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 14                     NW 14        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 18 TO 26. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-131130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

529 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-3)   24-29 (0)    36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+18)  89-94 (+6)   56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         NE  5        W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           40           

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.17         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 10                      N 14         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-131130-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

529 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014 /429 AM CST WED FEB 12 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-4)   25-30 (-2)   38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+17)  93-98 (+10)  54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5                      NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        N  6         W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           20           

PRECIP DURATION       8            4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.16         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 13                      N 16         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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