

823 

FNUS54 KMRX 110832

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

332 AM EST TUE FEB 11 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER 

TODAY...BRINGING LIGHT SNOW ALONG THE SOUTHERN  TENNESSEE BORDER AREAS. 

A STRONGER SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WEDNESDAY

AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-120945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

332 AM EST TUE FEB 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+4)   18-23 (+2)   31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-27)  82-87 (-5)   64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      SE 10        

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

HIGHS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-120945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

332 AM EST TUE FEB 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+2)   20-25 (+1)   30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-27)  82-87 (-2)   63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           20           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            3 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.23         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     S 13         

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-120945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

332 AM EST TUE FEB 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+2)   24-29 (+1)   29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-22)  81-86 (-8)   66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      E  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            6            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            3 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.32         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      S  8         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-120945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

332 AM EST TUE FEB 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+2)   27-32 (0)    31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-19)  89-94 (+1)   70-75        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SLEET        SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           100          

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.39         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  5                      S  7         

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-120945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

332 AM EST TUE FEB 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (0)    28-33 (0)    30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-12)  95-100 (+5)  71-76        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SLEET        SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           100          

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.03         0.43         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     S  7         

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    6 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         7            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-120945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

332 AM EST TUE FEB 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+4)   21-26 (+2)   32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-22)  84-89 (-4)   65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.20         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      SE  9        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-120945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

332 AM EST TUE FEB 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+3)   23-28 (+3)   32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-21)  84-89 (+1)   65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.21         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      2200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  8                     SE  5        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID TO

UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-120945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

332 AM EST TUE FEB 11 2014 /232 AM CST TUE FEB 11 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+2)   27-32 (+2)   32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-14)  84-89 (+14)  68-73        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SLEET        SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            3 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.33         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      2100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  8                     SE  6        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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