

238 

FNUS54 KMRX 100917

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

417 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA TODAY.  A 

STRONGER SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION BY MIDWEEK...BRINGING THE 

POSSIBILITY OF SOME WINTRY WEATHER.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-111030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

417 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-10)  18-23 (-6)   30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-5)   85-90 (-1)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     N  3         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 25. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-111030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

417 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-9)   20-25 (-5)   30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-1)   80-85 (-3)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       2                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      1 PM         

PRECIP END            7 PM                      4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     W  3         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-111030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

417 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-5)   23-28 (-2)   30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-4)   81-86 (0)    52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           50           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     NW  3        

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-111030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

417 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-4)   27-32 (-1)   32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+1)   83-88 (+4)   61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         N  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.03         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      E  3         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-111030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

417 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-3)   28-33 (0)    33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+5)   87-92 (+10)  62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.03         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      S  3         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI             6                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-111030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

417 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-9)   21-26 (-6)   32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+3)   81-86 (-1)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  5                      NE  3        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-111030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

417 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-8)   22-27 (-3)   32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-4)   79-84 (-4)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         N  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      NE  5        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

20S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-111030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

417 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014 /317 AM CST MON FEB 10 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-7)   25-30 (-3)   33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-4)   75-80 (-1)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7                      N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         N  7         N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 13                     E  5         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S

TO LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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