

019 

FNUS54 KMRX 100056 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

756 PM EST SUN FEB 9 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS EVENING INTO 

TONIGHT. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN 

PART OF EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA EARLY MONDAY PRODUCING 

SOME LIGHT SNOW. ANOTHER SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO AFFECT MAINLY THE 

SOUTHERN AREA WITH LIGHT SNOW AND RAIN MONDAY AND TUESDAY. 

TEMPERATURES WILL STAY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-110200-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

756 PM EST SUN FEB 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-4)   30-35 (-10)  16-21        30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+1)   58-63 (-9)   84-89        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     NE  6        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 20S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID

20S TO LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-110200-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

756 PM EST SUN FEB 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-3)   31-36 (-8)   18-23        30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+2)   57-62 (-7)   93-98        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G17    N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.08         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     NW  3        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS NEAR 30.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-110200-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

756 PM EST SUN FEB 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (0)    31-36 (-6)   23-28        30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+1)   59-64 (-5)   86-91        59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           20           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.06         0.01         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     W  3         

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS

NEAR 30. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-110200-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

756 PM EST SUN FEB 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+2)   36-41 (-6)   27-32        32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-7)   55-60 (-2)   86-91        60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         N  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           40           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.03         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      N  3         

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-110200-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

756 PM EST SUN FEB 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+4)   36-41 (-7)   29-34        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-8)   55-60 (-2)   86-91        60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.04         0.15         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     NW  3        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   6 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-110200-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

756 PM EST SUN FEB 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-2)   32-37 (-11)  19-24        32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+1)   57-62 (+1)   90-95        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    NONE         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.05         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  8                      NE  7        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE 20S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS

NEAR 30. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-110200-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

756 PM EST SUN FEB 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-3)   33-38 (-10)  21-26        32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+2)   52-57 (-5)   82-87        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      NE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         N  6         NE  5        NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    NONE         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 10                      NE  8        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-110200-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

756 PM EST SUN FEB 9 2014 /656 PM CST SUN FEB 9 2014/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (0)    37-42 (-8)   24-29        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-3)   44-49 (-8)   79-84        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  6                     NE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  7        NE  6        NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           40           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      NE  8        

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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