

986 

FNUS54 KMRX 090845

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

345 AM EST SUN FEB 9 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TODAY INTO EARLY 

TONIGHT. ANOTHER SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO AFFECT THE AREA EARLY IN THE 

WEEK...ESPECIALLY THE SOUTHERN PORTION.  TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER 

TODAY BUT WILL FALL AGAIN TO MUCH BELOW NORMAL BY MONDAY.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-100945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

345 AM EST SUN FEB 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+1)   23-28 (-5)   31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+1)   87-92 (-2)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.04         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      NW  6        

DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 23. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-100945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

345 AM EST SUN FEB 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+2)   25-30 (-3)   33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-1)   83-88 (-4)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W  6         NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      W  7         

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-100945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

345 AM EST SUN FEB 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+6)   26-31 (0)    33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-7)   80-85 (-6)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      W  7         

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID

20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-100945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

345 AM EST SUN FEB 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+5)   28-33 (+1)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-2)   82-87 (-8)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      NW  6        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S

TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-100945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

345 AM EST SUN FEB 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+5)   29-34 (+3)   38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    85-90 (-6)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      W  9         

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   10 POOR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-100945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

345 AM EST SUN FEB 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+5)   27-32 (-2)   34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   83-88 (-2)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      N  5         

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-100945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

345 AM EST SUN FEB 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+6)   26-31 (-4)   34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-8)   80-85 (-2)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      NE  8        

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 19 TO

28. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S

TO LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-100945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

345 AM EST SUN FEB 9 2014 /245 AM CST SUN FEB 9 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+5)   28-33 (-1)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-6)   77-82 (-4)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      N  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      NE  9        

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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