

376 

FNUS54 KMRX 082000

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

300 PM EST SAT FEB 8 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION TONIGHT THEN SLOWLY 

SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST SUNDAY. A WEAK UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE WILL BRUSH 

NORTHERN SECTIONS SUNDAY...BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND 

SNOW. A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW COMES MONDAY AS A STRONGER 

SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE REGION. TEMPERATURES 

WILL BE WARMER SUNDAY BUT FALL AGAIN TO MUCH BELOW NORMAL MONDAY.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-092100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

300 PM EST SAT FEB 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+5)   40-45 (+1)   25-30        31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-5)   57-62 (-2)   85-90        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.06         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW  9        

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 18 TO

23. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING

TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-092100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST SAT FEB 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+4)   39-44 (+2)   26-31        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-4)   55-60 (-3)   83-88        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     W  6         NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.04         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-092100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

300 PM EST SAT FEB 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+3)   40-45 (+5)   26-31        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-4)   51-56 (-9)   83-88        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         DRIZZLE      SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW  8        

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 19 TO 26. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-092100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST SAT FEB 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+1)   46-51 (+4)   30-35        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+1)   48-53 (-3)   75-80        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      NW  8        

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S

TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-092100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST SAT FEB 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+1)   46-51 (+3)   31-36        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-1)   46-51 (-3)   74-79        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-092100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

300 PM EST SAT FEB 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+3)   42-47 (+3)   27-32        34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-4)   51-56 (-3)   81-86        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.04         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      N  7         

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-092100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

300 PM EST SAT FEB 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+3)   43-48 (+3)   27-32        34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-1)   48-53 (-5)   80-85        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         DRIZZLE      SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      N  9         

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING

TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-092100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

300 PM EST SAT FEB 8 2014 /200 PM CST SAT FEB 8 2014/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+2)   46-51 (+3)   30-35        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+7)   45-50 (-4)   71-76        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      NE 12        

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$















