

887 

FNUS54 KMRX 080257

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

957 PM EST FRI FEB 7 2014



.DISCUSSION...

COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WEAK UPPER LEVEL IMPULSES 

WILL PRODUCE OCCASIONAL LIGHT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS TONIGHT 

THROUGH SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN SLIGHTLY BELOW 

NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-090400-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

957 PM EST FRI FEB 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+1)   35-40 (0)    25-30        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 61-66 (+11)  87-92        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.07         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      W 15         

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 18 TO 24.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-090400-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

957 PM EST FRI FEB 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+1)   35-40 (+2)   24-29        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+20) 57-62 (+8)   86-91        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      W 17         

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 19 TO 25.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-090400-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

957 PM EST FRI FEB 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+4)   37-42 (+3)   24-29        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+5)   51-56 (+4)   86-91        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      W 16         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 19 TO

28. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 18 TO 27. EAST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-090400-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

957 PM EST FRI FEB 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+2)   43-48 (+3)   28-33        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+4)   46-51 (+2)   75-80        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      W 14         

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS NEAR 40. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S

TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-090400-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

957 PM EST FRI FEB 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+2)   45-50 (+3)   28-33        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+3)   45-50 (0)    74-79        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      W 15         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS NEAR 40. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-090400-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

957 PM EST FRI FEB 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+1)   39-44 (+3)   25-30        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+19) 53-58 (+6)   85-90        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   11 PM                     

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM         3 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.03         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      W 14         

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

20S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-090400-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

957 PM EST FRI FEB 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+3)   41-46 (+4)   26-31        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+11)  48-53 (+4)   81-86        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      W 14         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-090400-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

957 PM EST FRI FEB 7 2014 /857 PM CST FRI FEB 7 2014/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+5)   44-49 (+5)   28-33        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+4)   39-44 (0)    77-82        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      W 14         

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S

TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$















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