

200 

FNUS54 KMRX 070823

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

323 AM EST FRI FEB 7 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND INTO THE AREA TODAY.  AN UPPER LEVEL 

DISTURBANCE WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-080930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

323 AM EST FRI FEB 7 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+3)   25-30 (+5)   38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-6)   90-95 (+9)   61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-080930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

323 AM EST FRI FEB 7 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+2)   25-30 (+5)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-7)   84-89 (+9)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      W 16         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-080930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

323 AM EST FRI FEB 7 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+5)   25-30 (+6)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-12)  83-88 (-1)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      W 16         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-080930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

323 AM EST FRI FEB 7 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+7)   26-31 (+4)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-14)  90-95 (+7)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      SW 14        

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR

30. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-080930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

323 AM EST FRI FEB 7 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+7)   26-31 (+3)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-10)  95-100 (+12) 50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      W 14         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR

30. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. HIGHS NEAR 40. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-080930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

323 AM EST FRI FEB 7 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+4)   26-31 (+5)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-4)   87-92 (+10)  52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN

THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-080930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

323 AM EST FRI FEB 7 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+5)   26-31 (+6)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-11)  82-87 (+7)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      SW 12        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-080930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

323 AM EST FRI FEB 7 2014 /223 AM CST FRI FEB 7 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+6)   27-32 (+7)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-18)  85-90 (+11)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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