

951 

FNUS54 KMRX 061928

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

228 PM EST THU FEB 6 2014



.DISCUSSION...

COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WEAK UPPER LEVEL IMPULSES 

WILL PRODUCE LIGHT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH 

SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH 

FRIDAY...WARMING TO NEAR NORMAL SATURDAY AND THEN TURNING COLDER 

AGAIN SUNDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-072030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

228 PM EST THU FEB 6 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (0)    37-42 (+6)   25-30        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    39-44 (-14)  83-88        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      SW 12        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER.

LOWS 17 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-072030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

228 PM EST THU FEB 6 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (0)    36-41 (+5)   25-30        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+2)   41-46 (-9)   95-100       56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      SW 10        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER.

LOWS 17 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID

20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-072030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

228 PM EST THU FEB 6 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-1)   36-41 (+6)   24-29        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+9)   38-43 (-11)  91-96        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      SW 13        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 26. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID

20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-072030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

228 PM EST THU FEB 6 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+1)   40-45 (+6)   26-31        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+3)   38-43 (-10)  83-88        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      SW 13        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

NEAR 30. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 26. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-072030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

228 PM EST THU FEB 6 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (0)    41-46 (+6)   26-31        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+5)   35-40 (-9)   95-100       55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      SW 13        

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-072030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

228 PM EST THU FEB 6 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-2)   38-43 (+5)   26-31        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+4)   38-43 (-8)   83-88        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      SW 10        

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER.

LOWS 18 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-072030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

228 PM EST THU FEB 6 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-3)   38-43 (+6)   25-30        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+4)   37-42 (-12)  85-90        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      SW 12        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 26. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-072030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

228 PM EST THU FEB 6 2014 /128 PM CST THU FEB 6 2014/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-4)   38-43 (+5)   27-32        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+4)   38-43 (-11)  75-80        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     SW 13        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR 30.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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