

540 

FNUS54 KMRX 060228

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

928 PM EST WED FEB 5 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THROUGH FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO 

REMAIN NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-070330-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

928 PM EST WED FEB 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-21)  33-38 (-16)  20-25        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-9)   47-52 (-18)  84-89        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            1 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     W 13         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-070330-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

928 PM EST WED FEB 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-21)  33-38 (-15)  20-25        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-14)  43-48 (-16)  80-85        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G23    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      W 14         

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-070330-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

928 PM EST WED FEB 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-22)  34-39 (-12)  19-24        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-4)   42-47 (-17)  88-93        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            1 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     W  9         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE

20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-070330-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

928 PM EST WED FEB 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-22)  37-42 (-11)  22-27        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-8)   43-48 (-17)  84-89        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 10 G18     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     RAIN         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      W  7         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-070330-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

928 PM EST WED FEB 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-22)  37-42 (-12)  22-27        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-12)  42-47 (-11)  86-91        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     W  9         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR 30. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-070330-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

928 PM EST WED FEB 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-21)  36-41 (-12)  21-26        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-17)  43-48 (-17)  82-87        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            1 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     W  9         

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS NEAR 30.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-070330-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

928 PM EST WED FEB 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-17)  36-41 (-9)   20-25        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-9)   40-45 (-26)  84-89        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  8                      W  7         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-070330-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

928 PM EST WED FEB 5 2014 /828 PM CST WED FEB 5 2014/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-16)  38-43 (-6)   22-27        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-11)  36-41 (-28)  77-82        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G17     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 10                      NW  6        

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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