

159 

FNUS54 KMRX 050744

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

244 AM EST WED FEB 5 2014



.DISCUSSION...

LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA TODAY WITH A RDIGE OF 

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIANS THROUGH FRIDAY.  TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN 

NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-060845-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

244 AM EST WED FEB 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-4)   20-25 (-19)  33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+3)   85-90 (-3)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 12 G22                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G24     NW  9 G21    NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 35                      NW  8        

DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-060845-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

244 AM EST WED FEB 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (0)    19-24 (-19)  32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-7)   80-85 (-11)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G21                  NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G25     NW 10 G24    NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 39                      NW 10        

DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 24. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-060845-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

244 AM EST WED FEB 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-2)   19-24 (-19)  32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-20)  88-93 (-4)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G25                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     NW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 36                      NW  7        

DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 25. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-060845-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

244 AM EST WED FEB 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-5)   21-26 (-19)  35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-14)  87-92 (-6)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G18                  N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    N  9 G17     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      N 10         

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-060845-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

244 AM EST WED FEB 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-3)   22-27 (-18)  34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-21)  84-89 (-10)  46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G15                  N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G16    NW  8 G16    NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            10 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      NW  8        

DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      

MAX LVORI             3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-060845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

244 AM EST WED FEB 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-3)   22-27 (-18)  35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   77-82 (-12)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G20                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     NW  8 G18    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 32                      NW  6        

DISPERSION            85 GOOD                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS AROUND 19.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-060845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

244 AM EST WED FEB 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-7)   22-27 (-18)  36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-6)   81-86 (-9)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G18                  N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     NW  7        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      N  7         

DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS AROUND 20.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-060845-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

244 AM EST WED FEB 5 2014 /144 AM CST WED FEB 5 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-5)   23-28 (-17)  37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-18)  77-82 (-13)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G19                  N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    N 10 G18     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            10 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      N 12         

DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$















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