

180 

FNUS54 KMRX 050127

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

827 PM EST TUE FEB 4 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER 

VALLEY...WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER 

VALLEY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING NUMEROUS SHOWERS ALONG ITS 

COLD FRONT LATER TONIGHT...WITH HIGH WINDS DEVELOPING TONIGHT ALONG 

THE MOUNTAINS AND THEIR ADJACENT FOOTHILLS. TEMPERATURES ARE 

EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-060230-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

827 PM EST TUE FEB 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+13)  44-49 (-5)   19-24        30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-3)   48-53 (-12)  89-94        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 12 G23                 NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G17    W 14 G24     NW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.04         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 31                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-060230-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

827 PM EST TUE FEB 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+11)  45-50 (-1)   19-24        31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  44-49 (-19)  93-98        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G27                  NW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 12 G25    W 17 G29     NW 14 G26    NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.02         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      NW 15        

DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-060230-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

827 PM EST TUE FEB 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+10)  45-50 (-1)   18-23        34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  39-44 (-26)  95-100       45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 13 G25                  N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G31     W 14 G25     NW  9 G21    N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.54         0.02         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      NW  9        

DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 28. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-060230-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

827 PM EST TUE FEB 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+10)  46-51 (-4)   21-26        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  41-46 (-21)  88-93        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G19                  N  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G26     NW 11 G20    NW 10 G18    NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.75         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      N 12         

DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-060230-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

827 PM EST TUE FEB 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+9)   48-53 (-3)   22-27        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  37-42 (-24)  84-89        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G18                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G18    NW 12 G21    NW 11 G20    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.73         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      NW 10        

DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   16 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-060230-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

827 PM EST TUE FEB 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+12)  46-51 (-5)   22-27        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+3)   48-53 (-10)  84-89        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G22                  NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    W 13 G24     NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.03         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      NW  9        

DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN

THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-060230-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

827 PM EST TUE FEB 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+10)  44-49 (-5)   21-26        34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   46-51 (-20)  84-89        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G19                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G21     W 11 G19     NW  7        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.77         0.02         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      N  8         

DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 28. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO

UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-060230-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

827 PM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 /727 PM CST TUE FEB 4 2014/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+8)   44-49 (-3)   22-27        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (0)    44-49 (-30)  80-85        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G19                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G22     NW 11 G19    NW  9 G16    N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.85         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      N 12         

DISPERSION                         76 GOOD                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 29. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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