

977 

FNUS54 KMRX 041632 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1132 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER 

VALLEY TODAY...WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER 

VALLEY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING NUMEROUS SHOWERS ALONG ITS 

COLD FRONT LATER TONIGHT...WITH HIGH WINDS DEVELOPING LATE THIS 

AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ALONG THE MOUNTAINS AND THEIR ADJACENT 

FOOTHILLS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR NORMAL THROUGH 

THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-051745-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1132 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+12)  40-45 (+12)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-15)  91-96 (-3)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     W 10 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G20    SE 11 G25    W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          50           

PRECIP DURATION                    5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.51         0.04         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W 33         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               80 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 14 TO 29. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 27. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-051745-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1132 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+6)   39-44 (+11)  45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-6)   95-100 (+5)  49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G20                 W 13 G28     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 18 G37    S 21 G41     NW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.37         0.03         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W 35         

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               63 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 17 TO 28. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 17.

HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-051745-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1132 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+4)   38-43 (+10)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (0)    95-100 (+3)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G19                  W 14 G36     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G42     S 26 G55     NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.60         0.03         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W 32         

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 18 TO 28. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-051745-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1132 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+3)   40-45 (+10)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+11)  95-100 (+2)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G17                 W 10 G25     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 13 G31    S 18 G40     NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.65         0.03         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      W 26         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-051745-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1132 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+2)   39-44 (+8)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+9)   95-100 (+3)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     W  8 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G18    SE 10 G23    NW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.68         0.03         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      W 29         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    62 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-051745-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1132 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+10)  40-45 (+11)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-10)  92-97 (+2)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  6                      W 10 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G19    SE  9 G22    W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          30           

PRECIP DURATION                    6            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.51         0.03         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      W 32         

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    83 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

19 TO 29. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-051745-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1132 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+9)   40-45 (+11)  45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-6)   95-100 (+2)  46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G26     NW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.70         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2100                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      W 28         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   74 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS

19 TO 29. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-051745-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1132 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 /1032 AM CST TUE FEB 4 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+4)   40-45 (+9)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+9)   95-100 (+1)  47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5 G15                  W  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G21    S 12 G24     NW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.65         0.01         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1900                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      W 25         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER

30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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