

500 

FNUS54 KMRX 040902

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014



...HIGH WINDS EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT ALONG 

THE APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS AND THEIR ADJACENT FOOTHILLS...



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER 

VALLEY TODAY...WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER 

VALLEY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING NUMEROUS SHOWERS ALONG ITS 

COLD FRONT LATER TONIGHT...WITH HIGH WINDS DEVELOPING LATE THIS 

AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ALONG THE MOUNTAINS AND THEIR ADJACENT 

FOOTHILLS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR NORMAL THROUGH 

THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-050900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+11)  40-45 (+12)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-15)  91-96 (-3)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     W 10 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G20    SE 11 G25    W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.51         0.04         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W 33         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               80 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 

LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS 

IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 

18. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-050900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+6)   39-44 (+11)  45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-6)   95-100 (+5)  49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G20                 W 13 G28     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 18 G37    S 21 G41     NW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.37         0.03         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W 35         

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               63 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND 

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

20S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 17. 

HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-050900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+4)   38-43 (+10)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (0)    95-100 (+3)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G19                  W 14 G36     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G42     S 26 G55     NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.60         0.03         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W 32         

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND 

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS 

AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-050900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+3)   40-45 (+10)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+11)  95-100 (+2)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G17                 W 10 G25     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 13 G31    S 18 G40     NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.65         0.03         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      W 26         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. 

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 

TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-050900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+2)   39-44 (+8)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+9)   95-100 (+3)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     W  8 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G18    SE 10 G23    NW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.68         0.03         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      W 29         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    62 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. 

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-050900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+10)  40-45 (+11)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-10)  92-97 (+2)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  6                      W 10 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G19    SE  9 G22    W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.51         0.03         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      W 32         

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    83 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 

19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-050900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+9)   40-45 (+11)  45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-6)   95-100 (+2)  46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G26     NW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.70         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2100                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      W 28         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   74 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

20S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO 

MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-050900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 /500 AM CST TUE FEB 4 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+4)   40-45 (+9)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+9)   95-100 (+1)  47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5 G15                  W  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G21    S 12 G24     NW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.65         0.01         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1900                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      W 25         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS 

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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