

311 

FNUS54 KMRX 032044

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

344 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER 

VALLEY ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...BRINGING ANOTHER GOOD COVERAGE 

OF RAIN. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR NORMAL THROUGHOUT 

THE WEEK. A MOUNTAIN WAVE HIGH WIND EVENT IS POSSIBLE LATE TUESDAY 

AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-042145-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

344 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-7)   44-49 (+9)   36-41        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   60-65 (-16)  95-100       56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 11 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G16    SE 10 G23    W 12 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           100          40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.54         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     W 32         

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

16 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY...CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW...SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-042145-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

344 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-12)  43-48 (+5)   37-42        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-2)   57-62 (-13)  95-100       50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G16                 W 11 G25     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 11 G25    S 17 G34     W 14 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           90           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.35         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     W 35         

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               58 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 16 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND

SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW...SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 17.

HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-042145-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

344 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-12)  48-53 (+9)   42-47        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-1)   58-63 (-5)   92-97        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      W 13 G25     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 11 G32     S 20 G44     W 13 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           90           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.44         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     W 32         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 18 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 17.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 16.

HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-042145-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

344 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-8)   50-55 (+7)   45-50        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  62-67 (+6)   87-92        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5 G16                 SW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 11 G26    S 17 G36     W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           90           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.19         0.50         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      W 24         

DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND

20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-042145-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

344 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-12)  50-55 (+6)   46-51        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  63-68 (+4)   90-95        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     W  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  9 G19    SE 11 G24    W 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.18         0.48         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      W 28         

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   62 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND

SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 20.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-042145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

344 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-10)  47-52 (+8)   40-45        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-7)   52-57 (-16)  95-100       53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  5                      W 10 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  8 G17    SE 10 G23    W 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           100          20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.46         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      W 30         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND

SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW...SHOWERS AND LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-042145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

344 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-5)   47-52 (+8)   40-45        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (0)    57-62 (-12)  95-100       47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 10 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5 G16    S 10 G24     W 10 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100          20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.20         0.60         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      W 25         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 28. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND

SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS...SNOW AND LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID

40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-042145-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

344 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014 /244 PM CST MON FEB 3 2014/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-3)   48-53 (+4)   42-47        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+8)   64-69 (+6)   87-92        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  5                      W  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        SE  9 G22    S 14 G27     NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           100          20           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.24         0.59         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      W 22         

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN

AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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