

858 

FNUS54 KMRX 030832

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EST MON FEB 3 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY MOVE AWAY FROM THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...WITH RAIN ENDING ACROSS THE AREA BY THE 

AFTERNOON. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE 

TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...BRINGING 

ANOTHER GOOD COVERAGE OF RAIN. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN 

NEAR NORMAL THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-040900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EST MON FEB 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-12)  28-33 (-4)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-5)   95-100 (0)   59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      SE  7        

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            80           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         4            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      10 AM        

PRECIP END            12 PM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.00         0.15         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     SW 16        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 

40. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 

MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...AND SNOW. 

LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...AND SNOW. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW...AND LIGHT FREEZING 

RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-040900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST MON FEB 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-8)   28-33 (-8)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-4)   95-100 (+2)  58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     SE  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      SE 10 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            80           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         4            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      10 AM        

PRECIP END            12 PM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.00         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      SW 22        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   2 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND 

SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...AND SNOW. 

LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...AND SNOW. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW...AND LIGHT FREEZING 

RAIN. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-040900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EST MON FEB 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-8)   29-34 (-7)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-13)  95-100 (+3)  64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 10 G30     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            90           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM         

PRECIP END            12 PM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.00         0.16         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     SW 23        

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. 

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. 

LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN 

THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 19. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-040900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST MON FEB 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-8)   30-35 (-8)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-18)  95-100 (+3)  66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7                      SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      SE 10 G25    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            90           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM         

PRECIP END            12 PM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.22         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     S 23         

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO 

LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN 

THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN 

THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-040900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST MON FEB 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-7)   31-36 (-8)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-17)  95-100 (+1)  70-75        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      SE  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            90           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM         

PRECIP END            12 PM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.00         0.21         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     S 22         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    8 POOR       

MAX LVORI             6                         7            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO 

LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN 

THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN 

THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-040900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EST MON FEB 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-8)   29-34 (-7)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-6)   95-100 (0)   56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     E  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            80           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         4            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      10 AM        

PRECIP END            12 PM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.00         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     S 14         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW...AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW...AND LIGHT FREEZING 

RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-040900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EST MON FEB 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-8)   30-35 (-3)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-16)  95-100 (+2)  62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NE  5        SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            90           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM         

PRECIP END            12 PM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.27         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      1800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      S 16         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...AND SNOW. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW...AND LIGHT FREEZING 

RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-040900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EST MON FEB 3 2014 /500 AM CST MON FEB 3 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-9)   31-36 (-4)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-19)  95-100 (+13) 68-73        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  8 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  7        NE  5        SE  8 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            90           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM         

PRECIP END            12 PM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.30         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      1800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 14                      S 22         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO 

LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH 

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN 

THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN 

THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...AND 

SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$







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