

349 

FNUS54 KMRX 020852

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EST SUN FEB 2 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TODAY...BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAIN BY THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO MONDAY 

MORNING. A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE 

LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING...ACROSS THE NORTHERN CUMBERLAND 

PLATEAU AND THE CUMBERLAND MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. 

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR NORMAL THROUGHOUT MOST OF 

THE UPCOMING WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-030915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EST SUN FEB 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-12)  33-38 (-1)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+36)  90-95 (+14)  59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G16                 N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        N  6 G16     N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SLEET/RAIN   SLEET/RAIN   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          70           

PRECIP DURATION       2            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.68         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     N 12         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 

MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-030915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST SUN FEB 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-12)  35-40 (+2)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+33)  90-95 (+15)  59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G15    S  6 G17     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          70           

PRECIP DURATION       2            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.78         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      W 14         

DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 

MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-030915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EST SUN FEB 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-11)  35-40 (+3)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+26)  90-95 (+20)  57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G22                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G20    S  8 G28     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         1.10         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W 13         

DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO MID 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S 

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-030915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST SUN FEB 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-7)   37-42 (+7)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+22)  95-100 (+12) 58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G18                  N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G17     S  7 G21     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          50           

PRECIP DURATION       2            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         1.36         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     NW 12        

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-030915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST SUN FEB 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-6)   36-41 (+8)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+27)  95-100 (+15) 61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  7 G17     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         1.40         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W 15         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI             8                         8            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO 

MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-030915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EST SUN FEB 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-8)   35-40 (+2)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+34)  89-94 (+12)  57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.80         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     N 12         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 

MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-030915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EST SUN FEB 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-6)   34-39 (-1)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+28)  92-97 (+14)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G16                 N  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  8 G17     NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SLEET/RAIN   FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          50           

PRECIP DURATION       2            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.94         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     NE 12        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH.



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-030915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EST SUN FEB 2 2014 /500 AM CST SUN FEB 2 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+1)   36-41 (+2)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+15)  91-96 (+6)   56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G15                  N  8 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         NE  7 G16    NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION       2            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         1.28         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2100                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     N 12         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 

MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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