

447 

FNUS54 KMRX 012012

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

312 PM EST SAT FEB 1 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

...BRINGING A CHANCE FOR RAIN ON SUNDAY...THEN WIDESPREAD RAIN 

EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. A MIX WITH SLEET...SNOW OR LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING

ACROSS THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU...AND THE CUMBERLAND MOUNTAINS OF 

SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR NORMAL 

OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-022115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

312 PM EST SAT FEB 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+12)  48-53 (-13)  31-36        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+6)   59-64 (+38)  95-100       73-78        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      N  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     LGT/VAR      N  5 G16     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SLEET/RAIN   SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.14         0.57         0.18         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      N  8         

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW...LIGHT SLEET AND

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-022115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

312 PM EST SAT FEB 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+12)  49-54 (-8)   32-37        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+10)  54-59 (+30)  95-100       69-74        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.06         0.64         0.27         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      NW  7        

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW...LIGHT SLEET AND

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-022115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

312 PM EST SAT FEB 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+12)  49-54 (-4)   34-39        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+8)   56-61 (+26)  95-100       65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G19                 N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G20     SW  7 G18    LGT/VAR      NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.09         0.88         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      N  7         

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...

SNOW AND LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-022115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

312 PM EST SAT FEB 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+11)  54-59 (-4)   37-42        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+19)  61-66 (+29)  95-100       65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G17                  N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     S  7 G17     LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.09         1.00         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     N  9         

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...

SNOW AND LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-022115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

312 PM EST SAT FEB 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+10)  55-60 (-5)   41-46        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+22)  61-66 (+29)  95-100       65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        S  6         LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.07         0.96         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      N  8         

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    12 POOR      

MAX LVORI                          5                         6            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND

SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-022115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

312 PM EST SAT FEB 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+11)  50-55 (-8)   34-39        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+9)   57-62 (+36)  95-100       68-73        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5 G15    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.12         0.67         0.16         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      N  7         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW...LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-022115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

312 PM EST SAT FEB 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+10)  48-53 (-8)   32-37        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+12)  61-66 (+34)  95-100       58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G15                  N  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     LGT/VAR      N  8 G18     NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      FRZ RAIN     SLEET/RAIN   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           100          50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.21         0.76         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      N 10         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-022115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

312 PM EST SAT FEB 1 2014 /212 PM CST SAT FEB 1 2014/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+11)  50-55 (-5)   36-41        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+21)  64-69 (+26)  93-98        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G16                  N  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     LGT/VAR      NE  8 G19    NE  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           100          40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.18         0.97         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2100                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     N 13         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...SNOW AND

LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













