

794 

FNUS54 KMRX 011547 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1047 AM EST SAT FEB 1 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TONIGHT...BRINGING A CHANCE FOR RAIN BY SUNDAY. SOME SNOW OR ICE 

WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT ALONG THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU... 

AND THE CUMBERLAND MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. TEMPERATURES ARE 

EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR NORMAL OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH NEXT 

WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-021700-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1047 AM EST SAT FEB 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+13)  35-40 (+11)  43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-1)   95-100 (+24) 75-80        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  8 G17     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      2200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     W 16         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               1 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND CHANCE OF LIGHT

SLEET. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY AND

CHANCE OF LIGHT SLEET. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS

IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-021700-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1047 AM EST SAT FEB 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+10)  35-40 (+13)  45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+6)   91-96 (+24)  63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G15                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G20     S  9 G20     W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     W 18         

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-021700-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1047 AM EST SAT FEB 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+9)   34-39 (+13)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+10)  95-100 (+30) 63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G18                  SW  7 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G22     S 10 G23     W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     W 16         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-021700-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1047 AM EST SAT FEB 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+9)   35-40 (+12)  48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+14)  95-100 (+28) 64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G18                 S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     S  8 G17     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      2200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   1 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-021700-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1047 AM EST SAT FEB 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+9)   34-39 (+12)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+16)  95-100 (+30) 67-72        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      W 13         

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   1 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI             3                         10           



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-021700-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1047 AM EST SAT FEB 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+12)  36-41 (+12)  45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+5)   95-100 (+27) 71-76        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      2000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     W 13         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-021700-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1047 AM EST SAT FEB 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+11)  37-42 (+11)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+7)   95-100 (+29) 62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G19    S  8 G18     NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.15         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      1800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     W 13         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S TO

MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-021700-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1047 AM EST SAT FEB 1 2014 /947 AM CST SAT FEB 1 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+9)   37-42 (+12)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+11)  95-100 (+29) 67-72        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G17                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G19     S  8 G16     NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      1600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$













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