

453 

FNUS54 KMRX 010910

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EST SAT FEB 1 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TONIGHT...BRINGING A CHANCE FOR RAIN BY SUNDAY. SOME SNOW OR ICE 

WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT ALONG THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU... 

AND THE CUMBERLAND MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. TEMPERATURES ARE 

EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR NORMAL OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH NEXT 

WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-020945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EST SAT FEB 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+10)  35-40 (+11)  43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+1)   95-100 (+22) 75-80        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  8 G17     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      2200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     W 16         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               1 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN... WITH LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET 

POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...RAIN SHOWERS...WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND 

LIGHT SLEET IN THE MORNING. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS...AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING 

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY...AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN 

THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-020945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST SAT FEB 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+10)  35-40 (+13)  45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+6)   91-96 (+20)  63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G15                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G20     S  9 G20     W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     W 18         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN SHOWERS...AND A CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IN THE 

MORNING. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS...AND A CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS 

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY...AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-020945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EST SAT FEB 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+9)   34-39 (+13)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+9)   95-100 (+28) 63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G18                  SW  7 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G22     S 10 G23     W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     W 16         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY...AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-020945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST SAT FEB 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+9)   35-40 (+12)  48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+11)  95-100 (+21) 64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G18                 S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     S  8 G17     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      2200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   1 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-020945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST SAT FEB 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+9)   34-39 (+12)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+13)  95-100 (+21) 67-72        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      W 13         

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   1 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI             3                         10           



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-020945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EST SAT FEB 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+11)  36-41 (+12)  45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+6)   95-100 (+17) 71-76        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      2000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     W 13         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN...AND A CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AFTER 

MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN...AND A CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IN THE MORNING. 

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-020945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EST SAT FEB 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+10)  37-42 (+11)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+7)   95-100 (+22) 62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G19    S  8 G18     NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.15         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      1800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     W 13         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN...AND A CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AFTER 

MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY...AND A CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IN THE 

MORNING. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT 

FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-020945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EST SAT FEB 1 2014 /500 AM CST SAT FEB 1 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+10)  37-42 (+12)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+9)   95-100 (+25) 67-72        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G17                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G19     S  8 G16     NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      1600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN...AND A CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AFTER 

MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN...AND A CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IN THE MORNING. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

MID 30S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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