

336 

FNUS54 KMRX 010206

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

906 PM EST FRI JAN 31 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WILL GIVE WAY TO 

AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION 

FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL LINGER THROUGH SUNDAY...AND INTO MONDAY. MORE 

WINTRY PRECIPITATION MAY OCCUR SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...ESPECIALLY 

ALONG AND NORTH OF I-81 AND I-40. A GENERAL WARMING TREND WILL 

CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH SEASONAL TO SLIGHTLY 

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-020315-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

906 PM EST FRI JAN 31 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+10)  53-58 (+12)  37-42        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+12)  28-33 (-4)   82-87        64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G17     S  8 G17     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         0.23         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     W 17         

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-020315-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

906 PM EST FRI JAN 31 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+10)  52-57 (+12)  37-42        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+11)  27-32 (0)    80-85        60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G16                  W  9 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G18     S  8 G18     NW  5 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     W 21         

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW...SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN

AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-020315-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

906 PM EST FRI JAN 31 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+9)   50-55 (+10)  37-42        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+9)   33-38 (+7)   79-84        61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G21                  SW  9 G27    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G21     S  9 G22     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.17         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     W 20         

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

30S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW...SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN...

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-020315-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

906 PM EST FRI JAN 31 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+9)   53-58 (+10)  38-43        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+16)  36-41 (+14)  90-95        66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G17                  SW  7 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G18     S  8 G17     N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         0.17         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     W 15         

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-020315-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

906 PM EST FRI JAN 31 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+8)   53-58 (+10)  37-42        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+13)  36-41 (+16)  90-95        67-72        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     W 16         

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   12 POOR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 40.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-020315-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

906 PM EST FRI JAN 31 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+9)   52-57 (+10)  36-41        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+15)  31-36 (+4)   84-89        69-74        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.20         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     W 16         

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW...RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-020315-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

906 PM EST FRI JAN 31 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+8)   52-57 (+9)   39-44        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+16)  34-39 (+7)   80-85        66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5 G20                  W  5 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G22    S  8 G19     N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         0.25         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     W 13         

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-020315-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

906 PM EST FRI JAN 31 2014 /806 PM CST FRI JAN 31 2014/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+9)   53-58 (+8)   38-43        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+15)  35-40 (+11)  85-90        68-73        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G18                  W  5 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G19     S  8 G17     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.14         0.22         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     W 13         

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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