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613 

FNUS54 KMRX 311630 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1130 AM EST FRI JAN 31 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE 

WEEKEND AND INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL BRING A 

CHANCE FOR RAIN BY SUNDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-011730-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1130 AM EST FRI JAN 31 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+8)   24-29 (+10)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (+2)   72-77 (+5)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 31        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS

IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-011730-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1130 AM EST FRI JAN 31 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+4)   23-28 (+11)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (+3)   70-75 (+5)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     SW 28        

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-011730-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1130 AM EST FRI JAN 31 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+5)   23-28 (+11)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+1)   73-78 (+8)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6 G16     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     SW 31        

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-011730-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1130 AM EST FRI JAN 31 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+6)   25-30 (+11)  53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (0)    78-83 (+13)  49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     SW 28        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-011730-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1130 AM EST FRI JAN 31 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+6)   23-28 (+10)  54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+3)   79-84 (+11)  46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     SW 25        

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-011730-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1130 AM EST FRI JAN 31 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+9)   24-29 (+10)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (0)    73-78 (+3)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      2200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 25        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-011730-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1130 AM EST FRI JAN 31 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+9)   28-33 (+11)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+1)   71-76 (+7)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 31        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER

30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-011730-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1130 AM EST FRI JAN 31 2014 /1030 AM CST FRI JAN 31 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+10)  28-33 (+11)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (0)    77-82 (+14)  48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 30        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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