

339 

FNUS54 KMRX 310830

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

500 AM EST FRI JAN 31 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE 

WEEKEND AND INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL BRING A 

CHANCE FOR RAIN BY SUNDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-010915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

500 AM EST FRI JAN 31 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+8)   24-29 (+10)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (+2)   72-77 (+16)  35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 31        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 

40. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN 

THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-010915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

500 AM EST FRI JAN 31 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+4)   23-28 (+11)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (+4)   70-75 (+17)  33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     SW 28        

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 

40. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE 

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-010915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

500 AM EST FRI JAN 31 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+5)   23-28 (+11)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+1)   73-78 (+22)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6 G16     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     SW 31        

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE 

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 

IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 

TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-010915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

500 AM EST FRI JAN 31 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+6)   25-30 (+11)  53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (+2)   78-83 (+7)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     SW 28        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST IN THE 

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER 

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-010915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

500 AM EST FRI JAN 31 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+6)   23-28 (+10)  54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (+4)   79-84 (+11)  46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     SW 25        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   18 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 

40. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE 

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-010915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

500 AM EST FRI JAN 31 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+10)  24-29 (+10)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (0)    73-78 (0)    40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      2200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 25        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST IN THE 

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-010915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

500 AM EST FRI JAN 31 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+9)   28-33 (+11)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+2)   71-76 (+5)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 31        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE 

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-010915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

500 AM EST FRI JAN 31 2014 /400 AM CST FRI JAN 31 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+10)  28-33 (+11)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+4)   77-82 (+7)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 30        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST IN THE 

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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