

032 

FNUS54 KMRX 301958

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

258 PM EST THU JAN 30 2014



.DISCUSSION...



A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. CLEAR SKIES CAN BE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...WITH 

SUNNY SKIES AGAIN TOMORROW. CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE ON 

SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES TOWARD THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES WILL 

RETURN SATURDAY EVENING AND PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-312100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

258 PM EST THU JAN 30 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (+17)  43-48 (+13)  28-33        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-13)  23-28 (-5)   56-61        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 12 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     S 14         

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE

20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-312100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

258 PM EST THU JAN 30 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (+17)  42-47 (+12)  25-30        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-16)  20-25 (-6)   61-66        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     S 16         

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-312100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

258 PM EST THU JAN 30 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (+14)  44-49 (+12)  26-31        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+9)   11-16 (-15)  60-65        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     S  8 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 13 G26    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     S 22         

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO

LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-312100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

258 PM EST THU JAN 30 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      12-17 (+12)  48-53 (+12)  26-31        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+11)  17-22 (-10)  74-79        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 10 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      S 23         

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-312100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

258 PM EST THU JAN 30 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      12-17 (+12)  49-54 (+12)  25-30        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+2)   13-18 (-12)  74-79        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      S 18         

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          3                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-312100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

258 PM EST THU JAN 30 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      12-17 (+15)  43-48 (+13)  27-32        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+6)   27-32 (-3)   64-69        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     S 12         

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-312100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

258 PM EST THU JAN 30 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (+15)  45-50 (+13)  30-35        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+4)   26-31 (-4)   65-70        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 11 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     S 20         

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO

LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-312100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

258 PM EST THU JAN 30 2014 /158 PM CST THU JAN 30 2014/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (+13)  45-50 (+11)  30-35        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   27-32 (0)    71-76        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 17                      S 26         

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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