

515 

FNUS54 KMRX 292001

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

301 PM EST WED JAN 29 2014



.DISCUSSION...

VERY COLD TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TONIGHT ACROSS THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. THE ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL SHIFT EAST ON 

THURSDAY ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO REBOUND A BIT ON THURSDAY. THIS 

WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-302115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

301 PM EST WED JAN 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      2-7 (+4)     31-36 (+16)  16-21        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-23)  21-26 (-13)  63-68        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     SW 25        

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-302115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

301 PM EST WED JAN 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      3-8 (+3)     31-36 (+16)  12-17        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-24)  19-24 (-16)  65-70        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     W 24         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-302115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

301 PM EST WED JAN 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      4-9 (+3)     32-37 (+14)  11-16        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-18)  7-12 (-22)   71-76        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        S  6         SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     SW 25        

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-302115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

301 PM EST WED JAN 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      4-9 (0)      37-42 (+15)  11-16        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-8)   12-17 (-13)  86-91        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  6         S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      SW 21        

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-302115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

301 PM EST WED JAN 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      3-8 (-2)     39-44 (+15)  10-15        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-5)   8-13 (-14)   81-86        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      SW 21        

DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-302115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

301 PM EST WED JAN 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      2-7 (+1)     32-37 (+13)  13-18        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-14)  22-27 (-12)  79-84        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     SW 20        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-302115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

301 PM EST WED JAN 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      3-8 (+2)     34-39 (+14)  15-20        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-8)   20-25 (-10)  77-82        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        S  5         SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     SW 21        

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-302115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

301 PM EST WED JAN 29 2014 /201 PM CST WED JAN 29 2014/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      3-8 (0)      35-40 (+12)  14-19        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-5)   19-24 (-7)   81-86        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8         S  5         S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      SW 21        

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$













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