

626 

FNUS54 KMRX 282031

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

331 PM EST TUE JAN 28 2014



.DISCUSSION...

SNOWFALL WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. AS 

THE SNOW MOVES OFF...AND THE SKIES CLEAR...TEMPERATURES WILL SINK TO 

THE SINGLE DIGITS...WITH WIND CHILL VALUES AT OR BELOW ZERO FOR MUCH 

OF THE REGION. THIS ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP 

TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. 

TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO REBOUND BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...AND 

CONTINUE TO WARM THROUGH INTO THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-292200-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

331 PM EST TUE JAN 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      -1-4 (+1)    18-23 (+2)   3-8          34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+21) 32-37 (-26)  62-67        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            1 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     SW 16        

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 26. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-292200-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

331 PM EST TUE JAN 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      0-5 (0)      16-21 (0)    2-7          33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+21) 34-39 (-27)  69-74        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            1 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     SW  9        

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-292200-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

331 PM EST TUE JAN 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      1-6 (-2)     18-23 (+2)   3-8          33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+25) 24-29 (-34)  64-69        17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            1 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      SW 12        

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 23. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-292200-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

331 PM EST TUE JAN 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      4-9 (-3)     22-27 (+4)   5-10         36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+27)  23-28 (-29)  73-78        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        N  6         LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            1 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      S 14         

DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 23. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-292200-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

331 PM EST TUE JAN 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      5-10 (-4)    24-29 (+4)   5-10         37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+28) 20-25 (-29)  73-78        18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        N  6         LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            1 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      S 13         

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               10 POOR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 22. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS

COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-292200-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

331 PM EST TUE JAN 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      1-6 (-3)     20-25 (+2)   3-8          35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+27) 32-37 (-24)  71-76        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            1 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     SW 13        

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 25. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-292200-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

331 PM EST TUE JAN 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      2-7 (-3)     22-27 (+3)   7-12         35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+31) 25-30 (-25)  64-69        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            1 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      SW 18        

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-292200-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

331 PM EST TUE JAN 28 2014 /231 PM CST TUE JAN 28 2014/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      4-9 (-4)     24-29 (+3)   8-13         37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+27)  20-25 (-27)  66-71        18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            10 PM                                               

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      S 18         

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS

COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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