

937 

FNUS54 KMRX 280838

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

338 AM EST TUE JAN 28 2014



.DISCUSSION...

ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTH. A LARGE AREA OF 

SNOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES TODAY. ACCUMULATING 

SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE EXTREME EAST TENNESSEE VALLEY AND 

THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. THIS COLD WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH 

WEDNESDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING WELL BELOW THE SEASONAL 

NORMALS. TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO REBOUND ON THURSDAY...AND CONTINUE TO 

WARM THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-290945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

338 AM EST TUE JAN 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-22)  -2-3 (0)     18-23        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+24)  95-100 (+13) 25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     W 15         

DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 3 TO 11. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS 19 TO 27.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-290945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

338 AM EST TUE JAN 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-23)  -1-4 (-1)    18-23        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+17)  95-100 (+13) 28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        W  7 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      NW 20        

DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 3 TO 8. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS 17 TO 23.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN

THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-290945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

338 AM EST TUE JAN 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-20)  1-6 (-2)     22-27        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+27)  95-100 (+19) 15-20        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         NW  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      NW 12        

DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 4 TO 10. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 22. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-290945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

338 AM EST TUE JAN 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-23)  5-10 (-2)    25-30        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+25)  94-99 (+20)  13-18        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         NW  6        NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     N 13         

DISPERSION            0 VERY POOR               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 4 TO 10. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 23. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-290945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

338 AM EST TUE JAN 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-23)  6-11 (-3)    27-32        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+23)  95-100 (+24) 12-17        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      NW 14        

DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               46 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 7. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 22. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-290945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

338 AM EST TUE JAN 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-24)  1-6 (-3)     21-26        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+20)  95-100 (+18) 24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  6                     W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  5                      W 12         

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 2 TO 10. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS 18 TO 24.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN

THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-290945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

338 AM EST TUE JAN 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-21)  2-7 (-3)     23-28        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+15)  87-92 (+17)  17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      NW  9        

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 6 TO 11. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS 19 TO 26.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-290945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

338 AM EST TUE JAN 28 2014 /238 AM CST TUE JAN 28 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-20)  4-9 (-4)     25-30        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+13)  77-82 (+11)  15-20        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G17                  N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G15     N  8 G15     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 10                      N 13         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 11. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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