

517 

FNUS54 KMRX 272017

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

317 PM EST MON JAN 27 2014



.DISCUSSION...

ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION OVERNIGHT...LEADING TO BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES...AND WIND 

CHILL VALUES. THIS COLD WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH 

WEDNESDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING WELL BELOW THE SEASONAL 

NORMALS. TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO REBOUND ON THURSDAY...AND CONTINUE TO 

WARM THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-282130-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

317 PM EST MON JAN 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      -2-3 (-30)   15-20 (-20)  -2-3         19-24        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+2)   40-45 (+7)   86-91        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM                                  

PRECIP END                         7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      NW 10        

DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 4 TO 10. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS 18 TO 25.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-282130-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

317 PM EST MON JAN 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      0-5 (-27)    16-21 (-23)  -1-4         20-25        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+5)   37-42 (+2)   83-88        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G18    NW  5        NW  5        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   10 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      NW 14        

DISPERSION                         1 VERY POOR               3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 4 TO 9. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS 17 TO 23.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-282130-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

317 PM EST MON JAN 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      3-8 (-24)    17-22 (-26)  1-6          23-28        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+2)   39-44 (+13)  81-86        17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G15     N  5         LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   10 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      NW  8        

DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 4 TO 11. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 25. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-282130-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

317 PM EST MON JAN 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      7-12 (-23)   20-25 (-26)  5-10         27-32        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+1)   38-43 (+13)  77-82        16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 11 G20     N  6         N  6         N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   10 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     N 10         

DISPERSION                         1 VERY POOR               10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 5 TO 11. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE 20S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-282130-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

317 PM EST MON JAN 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      9-14 (-21)   22-27 (-25)  6-11         29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-1)   35-40 (+5)   77-82        15-20        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9         LGT/VAR      N  5         NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   10 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      N  9         

DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 8. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-282130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

317 PM EST MON JAN 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      4-9 (-24)    17-22 (-21)  1-6          22-27        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-5)   39-44 (+5)   85-90        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     NW  7        

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 4 TO 11. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS 18 TO 25.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-282130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

317 PM EST MON JAN 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      5-10 (-24)   18-23 (-19)  2-7          24-29        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-7)   34-39 (+7)   80-85        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G16     N  5         N  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      N  7         

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 9. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-282130-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

317 PM EST MON JAN 27 2014 /217 PM CST MON JAN 27 2014/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      8-13 (-23)   21-26 (-17)  4-9          26-31        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-10)  30-35 (+2)   72-77        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  8 G16                 N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 12 G21     N  6         N  8         N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      N 10         

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 11. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 40. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 20S

TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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