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372 

FNUS54 KMRX 271531 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1031 AM EST MON JAN 27 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY. 

LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW MIX EARLY WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING RAPIDLY IN 

THE AFTERNOON. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-281645-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1031 AM EST MON JAN 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-11)  1-6 (-27)    15-20        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+19)  81-86 (-4)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G20                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    NW  8        N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      NW  8        

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 3 BELOW TO 4 ABOVE ZERO.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 18 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 5 TO 10. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. NOT AS COLD.

HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-281645-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1031 AM EST MON JAN 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-12)  3-8 (-24)    16-21        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+19)  88-93 (+16)  32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G23                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G20    NW 11 G20    NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       2                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM         

PRECIP END            7 PM                      7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      W 12         

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 1 BELOW TO 9 ABOVE ZERO.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 18 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 7. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-281645-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1031 AM EST MON JAN 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-11)  6-11 (-21)   18-23        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+14)  80-85 (+12)  30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G20                  NE  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G17    N 11 G20     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       2                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM         

PRECIP END            7 PM                      7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      W  8         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 1 BELOW TO 7 ABOVE ZERO.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS 18 TO 28. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 4 TO 11. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-281645-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1031 AM EST MON JAN 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-11)  10-15 (-20)  22-27        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+11)  75-80 (+5)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G19                  N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 11 G20     N 11 G20     N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM         

PRECIP END            1 PM                      7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     N  8         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 4 TO 11. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 6 TO 12. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-281645-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1031 AM EST MON JAN 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-13)  12-17 (-18)  22-27        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+13)  76-81 (0)    32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G17                 N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G19    NW  9 G17    NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM         

PRECIP END            1 PM                      7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     W  8         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               9 POOR       

MAX LVORI             4                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 TO 13. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 9. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-281645-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1031 AM EST MON JAN 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-15)  7-12 (-21)   17-22        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+16)  82-87 (-4)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G17                  NE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10        NW  8 G15    N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     N  8         

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS ZERO TO 6 ABOVE. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 5 TO 11. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-281645-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1031 AM EST MON JAN 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-16)  8-13 (-21)   19-24        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+18)  74-79 (-6)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G19                 NE  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G17     N  8         N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     N 10         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 1 TO 9. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 9. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-281645-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1031 AM EST MON JAN 27 2014 /931 AM CST MON JAN 27 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-15)  11-16 (-20)  21-26        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+11)  66-71 (-11)  30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G22                 NE  8        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 13 G23     N 12 G22     N  8         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     N 12         

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 3 TO 12. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 11. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$













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