

221 

FNUS54 KMRX 251948

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

248 PM EST SAT JAN 25 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A MOSTLY SUNNY SKY AND DRY WEATHER RETURNS BRIEFLY ON 

SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE NEAR NORMAL.  ANOTHER COLD FRONT 

WILL PUSH THROUGH ON MONDAY.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-262100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

248 PM EST SAT JAN 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      8-13 (-1)    38-43 (+13)  24-29        29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+12)  36-41 (-6)   75-80        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G16                 W  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G26     SW 10 G19    SW  7 G16    NW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            3 AM                      CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 37                     NW 18        

DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 3 BELOW TO 3 ABOVE ZERO.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 7 TO 19. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 3 BELOW TO 2 ABOVE ZERO.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 15 TO 23. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. NOT AS COLD.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. NOT AS

COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-262100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

248 PM EST SAT JAN 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      8-13 (-2)    37-42 (+11)  25-30        28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+15)  33-38 (0)    74-79        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      W 10 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 18 G31     SW  8 G16    SW  6        NW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            30           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            3 AM                      CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.01         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 33                      W 22         

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 4 BELOW TO 4 ABOVE ZERO.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 9 TO 22. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 4 BELOW TO 3 ABOVE ZERO.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 18 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. NOT AS COLD.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. NOT AS

COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-262100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

248 PM EST SAT JAN 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      9-14 (-3)    41-46 (+17)  25-30        30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+19)  30-35 (+2)   75-80        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G18                 W  8 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G31     SW 10 G20    S  9 G19     NW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            3 AM                      CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.01         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 31                      NW 15        

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 4 BELOW TO 6 ABOVE ZERO.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

12 TO 22. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 4 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE ZERO.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 18 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. NOT AS COLD.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-262100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

248 PM EST SAT JAN 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      11-16 (-1)   46-51 (+17)  27-32        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+12)  29-34 (-1)   74-79        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G19    SW  8 G16    S  8 G15     N 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 1 TO 8. NORTH WINDS 10 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

15 TO 24. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS ZERO TO 6 ABOVE. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-262100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

248 PM EST SAT JAN 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      10-15 (+1)   48-53 (+21)  26-31        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+7)   27-32 (-15)  77-82        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G17    SW  7        S  5         NW 10        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      NW 17        

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 3 TO 9. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

17 TO 26. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 2 TO 7. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-262100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

248 PM EST SAT JAN 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      10-15 (0)    42-47 (+14)  25-30        30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+8)   33-38 (-1)   80-85        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  8 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G25     SW  9 G17    SW  5        NW 10        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            30           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            11 PM                     CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 32                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 2 BELOW TO 4 ABOVE ZERO.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 10 TO 22. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 2 BELOW TO 3 ABOVE ZERO.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 18 TO 25. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. NOT AS COLD.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-262100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

248 PM EST SAT JAN 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (+1)   43-48 (+13)  26-31        32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+5)   34-39 (+1)   75-80        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5 G15                  NW  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G23     SW 10 G18    SW  7 G16    N 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 33                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS ZERO TO 8 ABOVE. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 11 TO 23. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS ZERO TO 6 ABOVE. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-262100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

248 PM EST SAT JAN 25 2014 /148 PM CST SAT JAN 25 2014/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (+1)   47-52 (+13)  28-33        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+9)   30-35 (-2)   73-78        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G19    SW  9 G17    S  8         N 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     NW 17        

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 3 TO 9. NORTH WINDS 10 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

17 TO 26. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 2 TO 7. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$















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