

293 

FNUS54 KMRX 231956

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

256 PM EST THU JAN 23 2014



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES EXPECTED FRIDAY AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

VERY COLD AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY 

FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL WARMING TREND...WHICH MAY ALLOW HIGH 

TEMPERATURES TO RISE TO LEVELS A LITTLE CLOSER TO NORMAL BY SUNDAY.

ANOTHER WEAK SYSTEM MAY BRING SOME SNOW SHOWERS TO THE AREA SATURDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

256 PM EST THU JAN 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      1-6 (-7)     18-23 (-2)   9-14         30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+19)  30-35 (-13)  68-73        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 13 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        SW  7        SW  7        W 14 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     W 35         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   83 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 11 TO 17. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 19 TO

24. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 5. HIGHS 11 TO 24. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS 15 TO 24. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S

TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

256 PM EST THU JAN 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      0-5 (-8)     18-23 (-1)   11-16        27-32        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+10)  24-29 (-15)  59-64        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      W 14 G29     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G20    W  5         LGT/VAR      W 17 G31     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         

PRECIP END            1 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      W 43         

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   85 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 11 TO 18. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 18 TO 28. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 5. HIGHS 17 TO 26.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 9. HIGHS 17 TO 28.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S

TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-242100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

256 PM EST THU JAN 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      -1-4 (-10)   21-26 (+1)   12-17        29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+7)   17-22 (-17)  56-61        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 16 G31    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    W  5         SW  6 G16    W 16 G31     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         

PRECIP END            1 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      W 38         

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 12 TO 19. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST

LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 4. HIGHS 16 TO 29.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS 17 TO 29.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-242100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

256 PM EST THU JAN 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      2-7 (-10)    25-30 (0)    14-19        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+1)   15-20 (-15)  57-62        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 12 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G16    SW  5        S  5         W 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      W 30         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 20. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 6. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS

TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-242100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

256 PM EST THU JAN 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      1-6 (-11)    27-32 (0)    11-16        34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+5)   14-19 (-15)  64-69        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 11 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G18    W  5         LGT/VAR      W 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      W 33         

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    63 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          3                         1            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS

10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO UP TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 3. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

256 PM EST THU JAN 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      4-9 (-8)     21-26 (-3)   11-16        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+4)   25-30 (-7)   64-69        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 13 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8         SW  5        LGT/VAR      W 14 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     W 35         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               83 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 12 TO 20. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 5. HIGHS 17 TO 27.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

256 PM EST THU JAN 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      3-8 (-9)     22-27 (+1)   13-18        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+1)   23-28 (-10)  58-63        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 13 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        SW  5        SW  6        W 13 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                                   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     W 30         

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               70 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 21. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 8. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS

TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-242100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

256 PM EST THU JAN 23 2014 /156 PM CST THU JAN 23 2014/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      5-10 (-9)    25-30 (+1)   14-19        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-4)   18-23 (-11)  59-64        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 12 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    LGT/VAR      SW  6        W 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     W 28         

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   62 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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