

699 

FNUS54 KMRX 230814

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

314 AM EST THU JAN 23 2014



.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TODAY BRINGING 

A CONTINUATION OF WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR LATE JANUARY. 

THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AVAILABLE WITH THE SYSTEM FOR LIGHT 

OROGRAPHIC SNOW SHOWERS AS A STRONG NORTHWEST WIND ACCOMPANIES THE 

ARCTIC SURGE. UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH 

FRIDAY FOLLOWED BY A WARMING TREND WHICH MAY ALLOW HIGH 

TEMPERATURES TO RISE TO LEVELS A LITTLE CLOSER TO NORMAL BY SUNDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-240915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

314 AM EST THU JAN 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (-5)   0-5 (-8)     18-23        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+1)   83-88 (+6)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G19                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G19    NW  9 G18    SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      W 13         

DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 13 TO 19. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

WEST 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 14 TO 19. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS AROUND 3. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 7. HIGHS 15 TO 22. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-240915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

314 AM EST THU JAN 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (-3)   0-5 (-8)     18-23        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (0)    75-80 (+2)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 14 G26                  W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G23    NW 12 G22    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      NW 17        

DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 15. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 13 TO 21. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 15 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS AROUND 4. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 7. HIGHS 17 TO 25.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-240915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

314 AM EST THU JAN 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-4)   1-6 (-8)     21-26        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (+2)   76-81 (+3)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G21                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G20    NW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 24                     NW 13        

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 15. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 15 TO 22. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 7. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 9. HIGHS 15 TO 28. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-240915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

314 AM EST THU JAN 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-3)   4-9 (-8)     24-29        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (0)    65-70 (-9)   22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G19    N 10 G17     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     NW  9        

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 15. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS 17 TO 29. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-240915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

314 AM EST THU JAN 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-3)   3-8 (-9)     25-30        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (0)    65-70 (-16)  19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G20    NW 11 G19    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     NW 13        

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      

MAX LVORI             2                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 14. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS 18 TO 28. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-240915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

314 AM EST THU JAN 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-2)   2-7 (-10)    22-27        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-2)   78-83 (+5)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G19                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G18    NW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 10         

DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 15. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 14 TO 22. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 5. HIGHS IN THE MID

20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 8. HIGHS 18 TO 26.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-240915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

314 AM EST THU JAN 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-4)   2-7 (-10)    22-27        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (0)    74-79 (+5)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G18    NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     W  8         

DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 16. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 8. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS 18 TO 29. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-240915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

314 AM EST THU JAN 23 2014 /214 AM CST THU JAN 23 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-1)   3-8 (-11)    26-31        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-4)   64-69 (-2)   21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G19    N  9 G18     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     NW  7        

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 18. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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