

730 

FNUS54 KMRX 222037

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

337 PM EST WED JAN 22 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A LONG WAVE UPPPER TROUGH AND ITS PREVAILING NORTHWESTERLY FLOW 

REGIME...WILL KEEP UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR IN PLACE THROUGH THE END OF 

THE WORK WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-232145-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

337 PM EST WED JAN 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      8-13 (+5)    12-17 (-6)   0-5          19-24        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+3)   58-63 (+14)  91-96        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G20                 SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G20     NW 10 G17    SW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     W 18         

DISPERSION                         86 GOOD                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 10 TO

19. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 15 TO 20. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 2. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 9. HIGHS 15 TO 23.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-232145-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

337 PM EST WED JAN 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      8-13 (+7)    12-17 (-5)   0-5          20-25        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-7)   48-53 (+9)   81-86        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 14 G25                  W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        W 12 G24     NW 12 G20    W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 30                     W 17         

DISPERSION                         81 GOOD                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 16. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 15 TO 21. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 4. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS 17 TO 27.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND

14. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-232145-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

337 PM EST WED JAN 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      8-13 (+8)    14-19 (-7)   1-6          22-27        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-5)   35-40 (+8)   80-85        16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G24                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G18     NW 10 G20    NW 10 G21    W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     W 14         

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 18. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 14 TO 22. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND

17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-232145-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

337 PM EST WED JAN 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      11-16 (+4)   21-26 (-6)   4-9          25-30        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+10)  24-29 (+1)   68-73        17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G19    NW 10 G18    SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     W 10         

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 18. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND

20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-232145-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

337 PM EST WED JAN 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      11-16 (+3)   22-27 (-6)   4-9          26-31        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+16)  21-26 (0)    67-72        12-17        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G20                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G21    NW 11 G20    W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     W 10         

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               15 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 7 TO 13. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 9. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND

20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-232145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

337 PM EST WED JAN 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      11-16 (+5)   17-22 (-4)   2-7          23-28        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+5)   45-50 (+10)  83-88        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G20                  SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G20     NW 10        SW  7 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     SW 15        

DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 16. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 22. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 6. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS 19 TO 27.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND

17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-232145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

337 PM EST WED JAN 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      11-16 (+6)   18-23 (-5)   3-8          23-28        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+3)   35-40 (+5)   76-81        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G18    NW  9 G17    SW  8 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     SW 15        

DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 12 TO

19. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 9. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

TEENS TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND

20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-232145-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

337 PM EST WED JAN 22 2014 /237 PM CST WED JAN 22 2014/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (+5)   21-26 (-4)   4-9          26-31        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+6)   25-30 (+1)   63-68        17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 11 G20    NW 10 G18    SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     SW 12        

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 12 TO 20. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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