

048 

FNUS54 KMRX 221606

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1106 AM EST WED JAN 22 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF OUR REGION TODAY...ALLOWING A 

LARGE COLD HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN 

U.S. THEREFORE...THE MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH. 

HOWEVER...THE UPPER TROUGH AND ITS PREVAILING NORTHWESTERLY FLOW 

REGIME...WILL KEEP UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR IN PLACE THROUGH THE END OF 

THE WORK WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-231715-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1106 AM EST WED JAN 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-14)  6-11 (+3)    14-19        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-14)  83-88 (+7)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     W 11 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      W 12 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     NW 24        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS ZERO TO 9 ABOVE. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 19. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 8. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS 16 TO 24.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-231715-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1106 AM EST WED JAN 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-12)  9-14 (+8)    14-19        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-26)  78-83 (-2)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G20                 W 11 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W  6         NW 12 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NW 30        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS ZERO TO 8 ABOVE. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 17. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 9. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS 15 TO 25.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-231715-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1106 AM EST WED JAN 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-11)  8-13 (+8)    16-21        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-25)  78-83 (-2)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  7 G19     NW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     NW 24        

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS ZERO TO 10 ABOVE. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 18. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS AROUND

10. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS 16 TO 29.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-231715-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1106 AM EST WED JAN 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-7)   13-18 (+6)   22-27        

RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-30)  70-75 (+3)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6 G15                  NW 10 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      NW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     NW 23        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 4 TO 13. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 18. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-231715-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1106 AM EST WED JAN 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-4)   13-18 (+5)   23-28        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-40)  70-75 (+1)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     NW 10 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  5         NW 11 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NW 28        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               51 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             2                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 TO 12. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 16. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE

20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-231715-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1106 AM EST WED JAN 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-12)  10-15 (+4)   18-23        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-24)  78-83 (+9)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     W 11 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      NW 22        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 2 TO 10. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 17. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS AROUND

11. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS 17 TO 26.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-231715-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1106 AM EST WED JAN 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-11)  10-15 (+5)   19-24        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-21)  71-76 (0)    31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     NW 20        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 3 TO 11. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 19. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS

COOL. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS AROUND

12. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-231715-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1106 AM EST WED JAN 22 2014 /1006 AM CST WED JAN 22 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-11)  13-18 (+4)   22-27        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-20)  64-69 (+1)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 12 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW 12 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     NW 22        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               63 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 7 TO 13. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 19. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$















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