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FNUS54 KMRX 212339 AAA

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FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

639 PM EST TUE JAN 21 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF OUR REGION 

OVERNIGHT...BRINGING AN END TO SNOW SHOWERS AND ACCUMULATING 

SNOWFALL. A BLAST OF UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR WILL FOLLOW THIS SYSTEM 

AND LAST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-230045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

639 PM EST TUE JAN 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      3-8 (-22)    20-25 (-11)  8-13         16-21        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-5)   36-41 (-19)  76-81        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     W  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G20    W  6         LGT/VAR      W  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         

PRECIP END            4 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     W 21         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   69 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS ZERO

TO 9 ABOVE. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 20. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS AROUND 17.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-230045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

639 PM EST TUE JAN 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      2-7 (-22)    18-23 (-10)  10-15        17-22        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-7)   37-42 (-27)  74-79        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G18                 NW 13 G25    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G24    W  6         NW  5        NW 13 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       3                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         

PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     NW 21        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS ZERO

TO 8 ABOVE. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 20. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS AROUND 16.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-230045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

639 PM EST TUE JAN 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      4-9 (-24)    20-25 (-11)  8-13         19-24        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-19)  33-38 (-21)  77-82        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     N 10 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G24    W  6         W  5         NW 10 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       3                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         

PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     NW 16        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 1 TO

11. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 21. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS AROUND 18.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-230045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

639 PM EST TUE JAN 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      8-13 (-20)   25-30 (-8)   13-18        25-30        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-17)  25-30 (-27)  69-74        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      N  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G22    W  5         LGT/VAR      NW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            4 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     N 20         

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 TO 14. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 21. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-230045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

639 PM EST TUE JAN 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      8-13 (-14)   25-30 (-6)   13-18        25-30        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-13)  26-31 (-33)  70-75        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     NW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G23    W  5         LGT/VAR      NW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            1 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     N 18         

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          2                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 6 TO 13. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 16. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-230045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

639 PM EST TUE JAN 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      5-10 (-21)   22-27 (-9)   12-17        21-26        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-18)  35-40 (-23)  79-84        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            10           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         

PRECIP END            1 AM                                   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     NW 17        

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 2 TO 10. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 20. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS AROUND 19.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-230045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

639 PM EST TUE JAN 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      7-12 (-24)   25-30 (-9)   12-17        22-27        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-15)  29-34 (-20)  70-75        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 10 G20     SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            1 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     NW 16        

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   63 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 4 TO 12. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 21. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS AROUND 20.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO

UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-230045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

639 PM EST TUE JAN 21 2014 /539 PM CST TUE JAN 21 2014/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      10-15 (-25)  27-32 (-11)  15-20        26-31        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-18)  25-30 (-15)  62-67        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N 11 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 11 G22     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            1 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     N 23         

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   81 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 8 TO 14. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 21. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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