

173 

FNUS54 KMRX 210833

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

333 AM EST TUE JAN 21 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TODAY...BRINGING 

SOME ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL TO THE NORTHERN AREAS AND 

MOUNTAINS...FOLLOWED BY A BLAST OF UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR THAT WILL 

LAST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN MOST

AREAS TODAY AND TONIGHT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

333 AM EST TUE JAN 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-15)  4-9 (-21)    18-23        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+18)  83-88 (-5)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7 G20                  NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 14 G24     N 12 G20     W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 25                      W 10         

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 6 TO 17. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS 14 TO 27.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER.

LOWS 2 BELOW TO 7 ABOVE ZERO. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

333 AM EST TUE JAN 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-17)  4-9 (-20)    18-23        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+26)  93-98 (+2)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G20                 NW  9 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G23    NW 14 G24    W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     W 13         

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 16. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS 14 TO 27.

NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER.

LOWS 1 BELOW TO 7 ABOVE ZERO. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-220945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

333 AM EST TUE JAN 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-16)  4-9 (-24)    22-27        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+19)  77-82 (-16)  25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 13 G26                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G28    NW 12 G23    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 26                     W 10         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 TO 17. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER.

LOWS 1 TO 9. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-220945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

333 AM EST TUE JAN 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-19)  9-14 (-19)   27-32        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+16)  66-71 (-20)  23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G25                  N  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G25    N 12 G22     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 28                     NW  9        

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 9 TO 18. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 TO 13. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-220945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

333 AM EST TUE JAN 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-21)  9-14 (-13)   28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+21)  66-71 (-18)  20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G25                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G25    NW 13 G23    W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 29                     NW 12        

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 18. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 6 TO 13. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

333 AM EST TUE JAN 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-18)  6-11 (-20)   22-27        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+17)  79-84 (-11)  33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G20                  NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G22    NW 11 G19    SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     W  8         

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 17. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS 17 TO 29.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 1 TO 8. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

333 AM EST TUE JAN 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-16)  7-12 (-24)   24-29        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+10)  69-74 (-17)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G23                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G24    N 11 G20     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 26                     W  7         

DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 9 TO 18. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 3 TO 11. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-220945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

333 AM EST TUE JAN 21 2014 /233 AM CST TUE JAN 21 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-15)  10-15 (-25)  27-32        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+8)   60-65 (-22)  26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 12 G26                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 16 G27    N 12 G22     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 29                     W  8         

DISPERSION            72 GOOD                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 22. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 7 TO 13. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$















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