

812 

FNUS54 KMRX 200846

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

346 AM EST MON JAN 20 2014



...BREEZY WITH LOW RH VALUES THIS AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

TODAY WILL BE SUNNY AND BREEZY...WITH TEMPERATURES WARMER THAN

NORMAL. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP BELOW 30% IN SOME AREAS THIS

AFTERNOON. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT

AND TUESDAY...BRINGING SOME ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL TO NORTHERN AREAS

AND THE MOUNTAINS...FOLLOWED BY A BLAST OF UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR

AND GUSTY WINDS.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-211000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

346 AM EST MON JAN 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+9)   27-32 (+4)   28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-7)   90-95 (+14)  48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G19                 N  6 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      N 14 G27     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            6            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.19         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      N 25         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS ZERO TO 10 ABOVE. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 14 TO 26. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 7 TO 15. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS

TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-211000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

346 AM EST MON JAN 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+9)   26-31 (+8)   27-32        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-12)  95-100 (+21) 47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G23                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G21     W  5         NW 14 G26    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       3 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.22         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      NW 22        

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 1 TO

11. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO UP TO 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 4 TO 17. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS

TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-211000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

346 AM EST MON JAN 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+11)  26-31 (+7)   28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-16)  79-84 (+8)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G23                  NW  6 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G21     SW  7 G15    NW 15 G27    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       3 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.17         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      NW 23        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 3 TO

12. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 18. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

TEENS TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS

TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-211000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

346 AM EST MON JAN 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+11)  29-34 (+10)  33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-13)  82-87 (+12)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G16                 NW  7 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  5        NW 15 G26    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       3 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      NW 25        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 7 TO 17. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 19. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S

TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-211000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

346 AM EST MON JAN 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+11)  28-33 (+14)  32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-15)  83-88 (+13)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7                      NW  7 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW 14 G26    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      NW 26        

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             5                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 15. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 19. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-211000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

346 AM EST MON JAN 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+10)  27-32 (+7)   29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-10)  93-98 (+19)  47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G19                 N  5 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     LGT/VAR      N 13 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      N 23         

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               62 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 4 TO 14. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 19. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-211000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

346 AM EST MON JAN 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+9)   28-33 (+4)   30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-10)  87-92 (+14)  44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G17                 NW  6 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      N 14 G26     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      N 25         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   69 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 6 TO 17. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 20. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-211000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

346 AM EST MON JAN 20 2014 /246 AM CST MON JAN 20 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+11)  30-35 (+2)   33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-10)  81-86 (+9)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G15                 NW  9 G25    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      NW 16 G27    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       3 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW 28        

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   73 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 17. NORTH WINDS 10 TO

15 MPH DECREASING TO UP TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 25. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$















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