

271 

FNUS54 KMRX 200337 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1037 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2014



.DISCUSSION...

THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WILL BE BETWEEN WEATHER SYSTEMS 

TONIGHT AND MONDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS 

ON MONDAY AFTERNOON. ANOTHER FAST MOVING COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE 

INTO THE REGION ON MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER 

CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW AND A BLAST OF UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210400-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1037 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-2)   45-50 (+8)   25-30        29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (0)    38-43 (-7)   72-77        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G19                 NW 10 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        W 10 G19     W  5         NW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 32                      NW 21        

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 2 TO 9. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS 8 TO

17. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO

UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210400-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1037 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-2)   45-50 (+9)   24-29        29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-2)   36-41 (-8)   70-75        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G25                  NW 10 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W 11 G24     W  8 G18     NW 13 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 38                      NW 23        

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 3 TO 11. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS 6 TO

18. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO

UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-210400-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1037 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-5)   46-51 (+10)  24-29        30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+10)  35-40 (-8)   70-75        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G27                  NW  9 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G24     W  8 G22     NW 14 G26    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 36                      NW 21        

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 3 TO 13. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS 11 TO

18. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE MID

TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-210400-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1037 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-7)   49-54 (+8)   26-31        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+5)   36-41 (-2)   71-76        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G16                 N 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    W  5 G15     NW 13 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 30                      NW 23        

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 6 TO 14. NORTH WINDS 10 TO

15 MPH DECREASING TO UP TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-210400-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1037 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-5)   48-53 (+7)   25-30        32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-6)   36-41 (-2)   74-79        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      NW 11 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9         W  6         NW 14 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 31                      NW 24        

DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 6 TO 12. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210400-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1037 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-2)   48-53 (+9)   26-31        32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+3)   36-41 (-6)   70-75        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G19                 NW  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G19     LGT/VAR      NW 12 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 31                      NW 20        

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 3 TO 13. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS 13 TO

19. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210400-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1037 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-6)   49-54 (+8)   26-31        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+13)  37-42 (-4)   72-77        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G17                 NW  8 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      NW 12 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 30                      NW 21        

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 6 TO 15. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 20. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-210400-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1037 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2014 /937 PM CST SUN JAN 19 2014/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-5)   51-56 (+9)   27-32        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+7)   37-42 (-2)   70-75        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G16                 NW 10 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    W  5         NW 13 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   3 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 30                      NW 23        

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 16. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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