

334 

FNUS54 KMRX 190830

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

330 AM EST SUN JAN 19 2014



.DISCUSSION...

SOME LIGHT OR FLURRIES ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING AS AN UPPER LEVEL 

DISTURBANCE EXITS THE AREA. A DUSTING MAY BE POSSIBLE IN HIGHER 

ELEVATIONS. AFTER A BRIEF WARM UP ON MONDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL DROP 

WELL BELOW NORMAL AGAIN ON TUESDAY. BREEZY CONDITIONS CAN BE

EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-200930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

330 AM EST SUN JAN 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+5)   22-27 (0)    42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+3)   74-79 (-8)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G17                  SW 10 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    SW  9 G17    W  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            3 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W 32         

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

MUCH COLDER. LOWS 2 BELOW TO 12 ABOVE ZERO. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS AROUND 8.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-200930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

330 AM EST SUN JAN 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+4)   20-25 (+1)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+6)   75-80 (-6)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G20                  W 11 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     W  8 G17     W  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            3 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 35         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. MUCH COLDER.

LOWS ZERO TO 13 ABOVE. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO

LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS AROUND 7.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-200930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

330 AM EST SUN JAN 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+3)   20-25 (-5)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+5)   78-83 (+2)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G20                  W 11 G27     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     SW  8 G22    W  7 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      W 26         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 17 TO 28. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. MUCH COLDER.

LOWS 3 BELOW TO 14 ABOVE ZERO. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS AROUND 8.

HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO

UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-200930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

330 AM EST SUN JAN 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+4)   22-27 (-5)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+8)   78-83 (+7)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7                      SW  7 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         SW  5        W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            10 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W 24         

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 6 TO 17. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-200930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

330 AM EST SUN JAN 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+5)   21-26 (-4)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+4)   79-84 (+3)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7                      W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            10 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     W 28         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 8 TO 17. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-200930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

330 AM EST SUN JAN 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+5)   22-27 (-1)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+2)   79-84 (+1)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9                      W  9 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G17    SW  6        W  7 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            3 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      W 29         

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 2 TO 14. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS AROUND 9.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-200930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

330 AM EST SUN JAN 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+6)   23-28 (-5)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+2)   79-84 (+2)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G15                  SW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        SW  7 G16    W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      W 24         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 6 TO 16.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-200930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

330 AM EST SUN JAN 19 2014 /230 AM CST SUN JAN 19 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+4)   24-29 (-4)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+7)   78-83 (+6)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7                      SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         SW  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      W 23         

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 9 TO 18. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$















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