

601 

FNUS54 KMRX 182011

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

310 PM EST SAT JAN 18 2014



...BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY...



.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER FAST MOVING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW WITH 

SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. 

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH NEXT WEEK...WITH THE 

EXCEPTION OF MONDAY WHEN A BRIEF WARM UP WILL OCCUR.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-192100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

310 PM EST SAT JAN 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+10)  35-40 (+6)   22-27        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-3)   47-52 (+5)   71-76        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G20                  SW 11 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G20     W 11 G20     SW 10 G20    W 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      W 36         

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 

MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH 

COLDER. LOWS 6 TO 11. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 11. 

HIGHS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 

TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-192100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

310 PM EST SAT JAN 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (+10)  34-39 (+5)   20-25        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-3)   44-49 (+5)   70-75        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 14 G25                  W 13 G26     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G21     W 12 G24     W  9 G22     W 13 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      W 39         

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS 

IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 

MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 

COLDER. LOWS 5 TO 13. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO 

UP TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 11. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 

MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-192100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

310 PM EST SAT JAN 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+12)  34-39 (+3)   21-26        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-1)   44-49 (+10)  71-76        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G24                  SW 15 G31    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G33    W  9 G19     SW  9 G25    W 14 G29     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 38         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS 

IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO 

MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 

COLDER. LOWS 5 TO 15. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 11. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE TEENS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S 

TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN 

THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-192100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

310 PM EST SAT JAN 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+12)  38-43 (+3)   22-27        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+3)   40-45 (+10)  73-78        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G16                  SW  9 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G26     W  8         SW  6 G15    SW 10 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W 32         

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 

HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 12 TO 17. NORTH WINDS 5 

TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 

MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-192100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

310 PM EST SAT JAN 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+9)   38-43 (+4)   20-25        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+9)   41-46 (+9)   76-81        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G18                  SW  6 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G21     W  8 G17     LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      W 32         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 12 TO 17. NORTH WINDS 5 

TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 

MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-192100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

310 PM EST SAT JAN 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+8)   38-43 (+6)   22-27        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+5)   43-48 (+5)   71-76        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G20                  SW 10 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G19     W 11 G20     SW  8 G16    W 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 33         

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS 

IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 8 TO 14. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 13. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-192100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

310 PM EST SAT JAN 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+9)   38-43 (+5)   24-29        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+14)  43-48 (+7)   72-77        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G17                  SW 10 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G22    SW  9 G17    SW  9 G18    W 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      W 31         

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS 

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 11 TO 16. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 

MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN 

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-192100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

310 PM EST SAT JAN 18 2014 /210 PM CST SAT JAN 18 2014/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+13)  40-45 (+3)   25-30        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+8)   40-45 (+11)  73-78        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G15                  SW  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G23    W  7         SW  7 G17    W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W 31         

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 13 TO 18. NORTH WINDS 5 

TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 

TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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