

086 

FNUS54 KMRX 180814

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

314 AM EST SAT JAN 18 2014



.DISCUSSION...

TODAY WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY BUT COOL AND BREEZY. ANOTHER FAST MOVING 

COLD FRONT WILL AFFECT THE REGION TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING...BUT 

ONLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO

BE GUSTY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOONS.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-190915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

314 AM EST SAT JAN 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-12)  23-28 (+11)  36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+1)   83-88 (+18)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G18                  W 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G17    SW  8 G17    W 12 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      W 22         

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 19 TO 28. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 11. HIGHS 16 TO 29. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-190915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

314 AM EST SAT JAN 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-10)  21-26 (+10)  34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-4)   77-82 (+13)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G21                  W 13 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G21     SW  8 G19    W 13 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      W 23         

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 24. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 18 TO 27. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

10 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO

UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-190915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

314 AM EST SAT JAN 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-5)   21-26 (+10)  35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-8)   79-84 (+19)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G18                  W 11 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G21    SW 12 G26    W 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 18         

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 27. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 15 TO 28. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-190915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

314 AM EST SAT JAN 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-4)   24-29 (+10)  40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-8)   78-83 (+15)  34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7                      W  8 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    S 11 G21     W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                      

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      W 15         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 25. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-190915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

314 AM EST SAT JAN 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-5)   21-26 (+8)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-10)  83-88 (+18)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G16                  W  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    S  8 G18     W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM                     

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW 18        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             2                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 25. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-190915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

314 AM EST SAT JAN 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-10)  24-29 (+11)  37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-4)   81-86 (+19)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G17                  W 11 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    S  6 G16     W 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      W 20         

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-190915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

314 AM EST SAT JAN 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-5)   25-30 (+11)  40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-5)   77-82 (+16)  35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G15                  W  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G22    SW 10 G21    W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                      

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W 17         

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-190915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

314 AM EST SAT JAN 18 2014 /214 AM CST SAT JAN 18 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-3)   26-31 (+10)  42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-8)   75-80 (+14)  32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      W  8         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G22    SW 10 G22    W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                      

PRECIP END                         7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     W 15         

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S

TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$















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