

990 

FNUS54 KMRX 180212 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

912 PM EST FRI JAN 17 2014



.DISCUSSION...

COLDER AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TONIGHT...BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. ANOTHER FAST MOVING 

COLD FRONT WILL AFFECT THE REGION ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY 

MORNING...BUT ONLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN. 

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND...THEN 

REBOUND TO NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS ON MONDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-190315-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

912 PM EST FRI JAN 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (-12)  26-31 (-15)  21-26        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-17)  37-42 (-1)   80-85        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G19                  W 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     SW  8 G16    S  8 G20     W 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            60           30           

PRECIP DURATION       2                         2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.07         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      W 23         

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-190315-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

912 PM EST FRI JAN 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      12-17 (-13)  26-31 (-13)  21-26        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-8)   35-40 (-3)   77-82        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 14 G25                  W 14 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     W  8 G21     S  7 G19     W 12 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            60           30           

PRECIP DURATION       2                         2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.06         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      W 26         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-190315-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

912 PM EST FRI JAN 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      12-17 (-13)  29-34 (-7)   22-27        34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-10)  30-35 (-7)   77-82        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G21                  W 13 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     SW  8 G16    SW 13 G34    W  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            60           30           

PRECIP DURATION       2                         2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.05         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      W 23         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 29. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

20 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS 19 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-190315-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

912 PM EST FRI JAN 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (-13)  33-38 (-6)   24-29        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-15)  30-35 (-4)   76-81        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G15                  W 10 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     SW  8 G18    S 12 G26     W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.03         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W 18         

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-190315-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

912 PM EST FRI JAN 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (-11)  32-37 (-7)   21-26        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-25)  31-36 (-4)   78-83        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G18                  W 11 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G18     SW  8        S  9 G22     W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            1 AM                      CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.03         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      NW 22        

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-190315-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

912 PM EST FRI JAN 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (-13)  30-35 (-12)  23-28        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-11)  32-37 (-3)   77-82        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G19                  W 11 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     SW  8 G16    S  5 G19     W 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.05         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W 22         

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-190315-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

912 PM EST FRI JAN 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-10)  33-38 (-6)   25-30        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-12)  29-34 (-5)   73-78        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      W 10 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G16     SW  9 G18    S 11 G23     W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM                      

PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 18         

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-190315-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

912 PM EST FRI JAN 17 2014 /812 PM CST FRI JAN 17 2014/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-10)  36-41 (-4)   27-32        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-11)  27-32 (-5)   72-77        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      W  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     SW  9 G19    SW 12 G22    W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM                      

PRECIP END                                      7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 18         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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