

806 

FNUS54 KMRX 170822

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

322 AM EST FRI JAN 17 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TODAY. SOME RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND 

CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT. SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS MORNING WILL SHIFT TO

THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON...AND WILL BE GUSTY THROUGH THE EVENING.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-180930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

322 AM EST FRI JAN 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+3)   12-17 (-15)  26-31        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-7)   71-76 (-3)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G18                  W  9 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G21     W  9         SW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     W 20         

DISPERSION            76 GOOD                   47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 17 TO 27. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. NOT

AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 10. HIGHS 18 TO 27. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-180930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

322 AM EST FRI JAN 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (0)    11-16 (-14)  26-31        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   68-73 (-6)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G17                 W  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G21     W 12 G20     SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.06         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     W 25         

DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 16 TO 24. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...BREEZY. PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO

15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 27. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

WARMER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-180930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

322 AM EST FRI JAN 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (0)    11-16 (-15)  28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+2)   69-74 (-4)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G24                 W  8 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G28     W 11 G20     SW  9 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     W 22         

DISPERSION            67 GOOD                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 13 TO 27.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 26. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

WARMER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 9. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-180930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

322 AM EST FRI JAN 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (0)    14-19 (-10)  32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-1)   66-71 (-17)  23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G21                  W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G25     W 10 G17     SW  7 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     W 17         

DISPERSION            72 GOOD                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

16 TO 27. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 25. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-180930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

322 AM EST FRI JAN 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+2)   13-18 (-9)   33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-1)   66-71 (-28)  19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G20                  W  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G25     NW 11 G18    SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM                                  

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     W 21         

DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   39 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

16 TO 24. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 26. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 9. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-180930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

322 AM EST FRI JAN 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+1)   13-18 (-14)  29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-1)   69-74 (-5)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G17                 W  8         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G23     W 10 G18     SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     W 18         

DISPERSION            86 GOOD                   48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-180930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

322 AM EST FRI JAN 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-1)   14-19 (-14)  31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-4)   66-71 (-3)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G18                 SW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G21     W  9 G16     SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 16         

DISPERSION            78 GOOD                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-180930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

322 AM EST FRI JAN 17 2014 /222 AM CST FRI JAN 17 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-4)   15-20 (-12)  34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-6)   64-69 (-9)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G16                 W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G21     W  8 G15     SW  9 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM                                  

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      W 15         

DISPERSION            78 GOOD                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$















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