

613 

FNUS54 KMRX 160756

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

256 AM EST THU JAN 16 2014



.DISCUSSION...

SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AND PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL ALLOW 

TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE 40S ONCE AGAIN TODAY. CLOUDS WILL 

INCREASE BY THIS EVENING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH 

FROM THE WEST. SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT...BUT 

THE BEST CHANCE FOR WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL BE DURING THE DAY ON 

FRIDAY AS ANOTHER FAST MOVING COLD FRONT WILL MOVES THROUGH THE 

REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-170900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

256 AM EST THU JAN 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-2)   23-28 (+8)   32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-15)  82-87 (+4)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G15    SW  6        SW 12 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 29        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 13 TO

18. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

19 TO 24. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND

20. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-170900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

256 AM EST THU JAN 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-2)   22-27 (+8)   31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-18)  73-78 (-4)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  5        W 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      SW 25        

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 12 TO

18. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

18 TO 24. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-170900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

256 AM EST THU JAN 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (0)    23-28 (+8)   31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-18)  68-73 (-5)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 11 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  7        W 14 G26     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      SW 25        

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 10 TO

18. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

19 TO 26. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND

18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-170900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

256 AM EST THU JAN 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-1)   24-29 (+7)   34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-14)  73-78 (+4)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        S  6         W 13 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      W 24         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 13 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-170900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

256 AM EST THU JAN 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (0)    23-28 (+7)   34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-18)  75-80 (0)    27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  5        W 13 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      W 25         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    57 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 13 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-170900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

256 AM EST THU JAN 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-2)   24-29 (+8)   34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-16)  79-84 (+5)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  5        W 13 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW 28        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 14 TO 19. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-170900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

256 AM EST THU JAN 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-1)   24-29 (+7)   35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-12)  73-78 (+1)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     SW  8 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    SW  6        W 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW 25        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   63 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS 14 TO 19.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-170900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

256 AM EST THU JAN 16 2014 /156 AM CST THU JAN 16 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-1)   25-30 (+6)   36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-8)   70-75 (+4)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    SW  6        W 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     W 24         

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   62 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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