

651 

FNUS54 KMRX 151541

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST 

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...UPDATED

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1040 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...WITH COLDER AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION 

BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. ANOTHER FAST MOVING COLD FRONT 

WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON FRIDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR 

SNOW. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-161545-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1040 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-15)  15-20 (-12)  34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-2)   85-90 (-9)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        N  6         SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      SW 15        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 

10 TO 16. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 

THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-161545-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1040 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-16)  13-18 (-13)  31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-12)  87-92 (-6)   29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G15                 W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        N  7         W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W 12         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 

10 TO 15. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 

THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 

TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-161545-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1040 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-15)  12-17 (-13)  32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-8)   88-93 (-3)   21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        N  7         SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     SW 13        

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 17 TO 

28. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. 

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 

4 TO 16. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO 

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-161545-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1040 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-14)  16-21 (-13)  38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-7)   81-86 (-8)   21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    N  9 G16     SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     SW 10        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 

IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 

COLDER. LOWS 10 TO 16. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-161545-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1040 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-15)  16-21 (-11)  38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-4)   78-83 (-15)  17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        N  8 G15     SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     W  9         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 

21 TO 26. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 

COLDER. LOWS 8 TO 14. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-161545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1040 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-15)  16-21 (-13)  35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-9)   82-87 (-11)  26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  5        SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      SW 14        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 

COLDER. LOWS 10 TO 16. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-161545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1040 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-15)  16-21 (-15)  38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-5)   76-81 (-12)  26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  7 G15    SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     SW 16        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 

COLDER. LOWS 11 TO 17. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 

TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-161545-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1040 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014 /940 AM CST WED JAN 15 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-15)  18-23 (-14)  39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-3)   72-77 (-9)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    NW  9 G17    SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     SW 16        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

MID TO UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE TEENS. NORTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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