

625 

FNUS54 KMRX 150741

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

241 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014



.DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR THIS MORNING...

CHANGING TO MOSTLY SNOW SHOWERS AS COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION.

DRY WEATHER RETURNS ON THURSDAY...BEFORE ANOTHER FAST MOVING WEATHER 

SYSTEM BRINGS SNOW SHOWERS TO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY FRIDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160845-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

241 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-20)  15-20 (-11)  34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+6)   86-91 (-1)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  7        SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      SW 15        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS 10 TO 16. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160845-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

241 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-22)  13-18 (-12)  31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    87-92 (-1)   29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  8        W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W 12         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS 8 TO 15. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-160845-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

241 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-21)  12-17 (-12)  32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-3)   89-94 (+3)   21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    NW  7        SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     SW 13        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

17 TO 28. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS 4 TO 16. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-160845-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

241 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-21)  16-21 (-11)  38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (0)    82-87 (-6)   21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    NW  7        SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     SW 10        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 18 TO 27. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS 7 TO 16. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO

LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-160845-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

241 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-21)  16-21 (-10)  38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+1)   81-86 (-12)  17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    NW  7        SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     W  9         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 19 TO 26. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS 7 TO 14. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

241 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-21)  16-21 (-12)  35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-1)   82-87 (-6)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  7        SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      SW 14        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS 10 TO 16. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

241 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-21)  16-21 (-13)  38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-4)   77-82 (-3)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  7        SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     SW 16        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS 11 TO 17. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160845-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

241 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014 /141 AM CST WED JAN 15 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-21)  18-23 (-11)  39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-4)   72-77 (-4)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    NW  7        SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            3 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     SW 16        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID TO UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 13 TO 19. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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